Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" at 63% for no paradigm-shifting events in 2026, reflecting the absence of any resolution triggers through mid-May amid stabilizing global tensions. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce has reduced Russia-NATO invasion risks, while recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets did not meet full invasion criteria, preserving "Yes" viability. Bitcoin holds steady near $80,000, far from $1 million or $10,000 thresholds, and President Trump remains in office with Xi Jinping secure and no Iranian regime fall. No major earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, or meteor strikes have occurred. Risks persist ahead of November midterms—where a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority could flip odds—and the Trump-Xi summit on Taiwan tensions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकभी कुछ नहीं होता: 2026
कभी कुछ नहीं होता: 2026
हाँ
$559,163 वॉल्यूम
$559,163 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$559,163 वॉल्यूम
$559,163 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" at 63% for no paradigm-shifting events in 2026, reflecting the absence of any resolution triggers through mid-May amid stabilizing global tensions. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce has reduced Russia-NATO invasion risks, while recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets did not meet full invasion criteria, preserving "Yes" viability. Bitcoin holds steady near $80,000, far from $1 million or $10,000 thresholds, and President Trump remains in office with Xi Jinping secure and no Iranian regime fall. No major earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, or meteor strikes have occurred. Risks persist ahead of November midterms—where a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority could flip odds—and the Trump-Xi summit on Taiwan tensions.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$559,163समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" at 63% for no paradigm-shifting events in 2026, reflecting the absence of any resolution triggers through mid-May amid stabilizing global tensions. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce has reduced Russia-NATO invasion risks, while recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets did not meet full invasion criteria, preserving "Yes" viability. Bitcoin holds steady near $80,000, far from $1 million or $10,000 thresholds, and President Trump remains in office with Xi Jinping secure and no Iranian regime fall. No major earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, or meteor strikes have occurred. Risks persist ahead of November midterms—where a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority could flip odds—and the Trump-Xi summit on Taiwan tensions.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$559,163समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" at 63% for no paradigm-shifting events in 2026, reflecting the absence of any resolution triggers through mid-May amid stabilizing global tensions. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce has reduced Russia-NATO invasion risks, while recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets did not meet full invasion criteria, preserving "Yes" viability. Bitcoin holds steady near $80,000, far from $1 million or $10,000 thresholds, and President Trump remains in office with Xi Jinping secure and no Iranian regime fall. No major earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, or meteor strikes have occurred. Risks persist ahead of November midterms—where a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority could flip odds—and the Trump-Xi summit on Taiwan tensions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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