Trader consensus on further Iran leadership change reflects persistent uncertainty over Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's capacity to govern, following his March 8 appointment by the Assembly of Experts after father Ali Khamenei's assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. U.S. and Israeli intelligence assessments claim Mojtaba suffered severe disfiguring wounds in the attacks, leaving him unconscious and treated in Qom, with no public appearances or video proof of life since his naming—amplifying fears of an IRGC-led power vacuum amid regime continuity pressures. Recent escalations, including failed 21-hour U.S.-Iran nuclear talks in Pakistan last week and Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure warnings yesterday, heighten instability risks, while internal protests and military posturing could trigger Assembly intervention or no-confidence dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$9,343,570 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
30 अप्रैल
5%
31 मई
13%
30 जून
19%
31 दिसंबर
33%
$9,343,570 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल
$3,273,523 वॉल्यूम
5%
31 मई
$550,752 वॉल्यूम
13%
30 जून
$484,501 वॉल्यूम
19%
31 दिसंबर
$1,803,891 वॉल्यूम
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on further Iran leadership change reflects persistent uncertainty over Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's capacity to govern, following his March 8 appointment by the Assembly of Experts after father Ali Khamenei's assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. U.S. and Israeli intelligence assessments claim Mojtaba suffered severe disfiguring wounds in the attacks, leaving him unconscious and treated in Qom, with no public appearances or video proof of life since his naming—amplifying fears of an IRGC-led power vacuum amid regime continuity pressures. Recent escalations, including failed 21-hour U.S.-Iran nuclear talks in Pakistan last week and Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure warnings yesterday, heighten instability risks, while internal protests and military posturing could trigger Assembly intervention or no-confidence dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,343,570समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on further Iran leadership change reflects persistent uncertainty over Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's capacity to govern, following his March 8 appointment by the Assembly of Experts after father Ali Khamenei's assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. U.S. and Israeli intelligence assessments claim Mojtaba suffered severe disfiguring wounds in the attacks, leaving him unconscious and treated in Qom, with no public appearances or video proof of life since his naming—amplifying fears of an IRGC-led power vacuum amid regime continuity pressures. Recent escalations, including failed 21-hour U.S.-Iran nuclear talks in Pakistan last week and Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure warnings yesterday, heighten instability risks, while internal protests and military posturing could trigger Assembly intervention or no-confidence dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$9,343,570समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on further Iran leadership change reflects persistent uncertainty over Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's capacity to govern, following his March 8 appointment by the Assembly of Experts after father Ali Khamenei's assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28. U.S. and Israeli intelligence assessments claim Mojtaba suffered severe disfiguring wounds in the attacks, leaving him unconscious and treated in Qom, with no public appearances or video proof of life since his naming—amplifying fears of an IRGC-led power vacuum amid regime continuity pressures. Recent escalations, including failed 21-hour U.S.-Iran nuclear talks in Pakistan last week and Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure warnings yesterday, heighten instability risks, while internal protests and military posturing could trigger Assembly intervention or no-confidence dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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