**The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war triggered Iran's first leadership transition since 1989.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March and unanimously selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader, completing the process by March 9. Interim arrangements involving figures such as Ali Larijani and a temporary council managed the immediate period. The new leadership has since consolidated power, with reports indicating a younger, more hardline orientation while maintaining continuity in key institutions like the IRGC and clerical bodies. This sequence of verified military and institutional events has established the change as a completed fact ahead of most resolution dates, though traders continue to monitor any residual instability or external pressures that could influence longer-term regime dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$23,478,047 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
15 अगस्त
<1%
22 अगस्त
1%
31 अगस्त
2%
30 सितंबर
6%
31 अक्टूबर
10%
30 नवंबर
13%
31 दिसंबर
18%
30 जून, 2027
26%
$23,478,047 वॉल्यूम
15 अगस्त
$60,914 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22 अगस्त
$31,948 वॉल्यूम
1%
31 अगस्त
$1,148,849 वॉल्यूम
2%
30 सितंबर
$438,584 वॉल्यूम
6%
31 अक्टूबर
$8,752 वॉल्यूम
10%
30 नवंबर
$9,572 वॉल्यूम
13%
31 दिसंबर
$3,996,193 वॉल्यूम
18%
30 जून, 2027
$236,858 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war triggered Iran's first leadership transition since 1989.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March and unanimously selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader, completing the process by March 9. Interim arrangements involving figures such as Ali Larijani and a temporary council managed the immediate period. The new leadership has since consolidated power, with reports indicating a younger, more hardline orientation while maintaining continuity in key institutions like the IRGC and clerical bodies. This sequence of verified military and institutional events has established the change as a completed fact ahead of most resolution dates, though traders continue to monitor any residual instability or external pressures that could influence longer-term regime dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,478,047समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war triggered Iran's first leadership transition since 1989.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March and unanimously selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader, completing the process by March 9. Interim arrangements involving figures such as Ali Larijani and a temporary council managed the immediate period. The new leadership has since consolidated power, with reports indicating a younger, more hardline orientation while maintaining continuity in key institutions like the IRGC and clerical bodies. This sequence of verified military and institutional events has established the change as a completed fact ahead of most resolution dates, though traders continue to monitor any residual instability or external pressures that could influence longer-term regime dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$23,478,047समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war triggered Iran's first leadership transition since 1989.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March and unanimously selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader, completing the process by March 9. Interim arrangements involving figures such as Ali Larijani and a temporary council managed the immediate period. The new leadership has since consolidated power, with reports indicating a younger, more hardline orientation while maintaining continuity in key institutions like the IRGC and clerical bodies. This sequence of verified military and institutional events has established the change as a completed fact ahead of most resolution dates, though traders continue to monitor any residual instability or external pressures that could influence longer-term regime dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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