Recent observational data from agencies including Copernicus and NOAA confirm May 2026 global surface temperatures ranked among the second-warmest on record, with anomalies near 1.1–1.4°C above pre-industrial baselines amid persistent long-term warming and a developing El Niño event. This alignment with climate model ensembles and historical trends underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for the 1.10–1.14°C bracket. ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño, combined with elevated sea surface temperatures, provide the key causal drivers. Minor revisions in final dataset processing or regional weighting could theoretically shift outcomes, though current evidence indicates limited scope for such adjustments before full verification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMay 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC 100.0%
<1.10ºC <1%
1.15–1.19ºC <1%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
$201,757 वॉल्यूम
$201,757 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
<1.10ºC
No
1.10–1.14ºC
Yes
1.15–1.19ºC
No
1.20–1.24ºC
No
1.25–1.29ºC
No
>1.29ºC
No
1.10–1.14ºC 100.0%
<1.10ºC <1%
1.15–1.19ºC <1%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
$201,757 वॉल्यूम
$201,757 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
<1.10ºC
$63,689 वॉल्यूम
No
1.10–1.14ºC
$26,675 वॉल्यूम
Yes
1.15–1.19ºC
$39,540 वॉल्यूम
No
1.20–1.24ºC
$24,028 वॉल्यूम
No
1.25–1.29ºC
$20,999 वॉल्यूम
No
>1.29ºC
$26,826 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent observational data from agencies including Copernicus and NOAA confirm May 2026 global surface temperatures ranked among the second-warmest on record, with anomalies near 1.1–1.4°C above pre-industrial baselines amid persistent long-term warming and a developing El Niño event. This alignment with climate model ensembles and historical trends underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for the 1.10–1.14°C bracket. ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño, combined with elevated sea surface temperatures, provide the key causal drivers. Minor revisions in final dataset processing or regional weighting could theoretically shift outcomes, though current evidence indicates limited scope for such adjustments before full verification.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$201,757समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent observational data from agencies including Copernicus and NOAA confirm May 2026 global surface temperatures ranked among the second-warmest on record, with anomalies near 1.1–1.4°C above pre-industrial baselines amid persistent long-term warming and a developing El Niño event. This alignment with climate model ensembles and historical trends underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for the 1.10–1.14°C bracket. ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño, combined with elevated sea surface temperatures, provide the key causal drivers. Minor revisions in final dataset processing or regional weighting could theoretically shift outcomes, though current evidence indicates limited scope for such adjustments before full verification.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$201,757समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Recent observational data from agencies including Copernicus and NOAA confirm May 2026 global surface temperatures ranked among the second-warmest on record, with anomalies near 1.1–1.4°C above pre-industrial baselines amid persistent long-term warming and a developing El Niño event. This alignment with climate model ensembles and historical trends underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds for the 1.10–1.14°C bracket. ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño, combined with elevated sea surface temperatures, provide the key causal drivers. Minor revisions in final dataset processing or regional weighting could theoretically shift outcomes, though current evidence indicates limited scope for such adjustments before full verification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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