Recent global surface temperature data from agencies including Copernicus and NOAA show 2026 monthly anomalies tracking near or slightly below 2025 levels amid a weakening La Niña that has modestly suppressed ocean heat release, keeping May readings aligned with the 1.10–1.14 °C bin above the 1951–1980 baseline. The long-term anthropogenic warming trend, reinforced by elevated ocean heat content, continues to anchor outcomes above 1.10 °C despite the absence of a strong El Niño this year, while model consensus from dynamical forecasts indicates only limited further cooling through boreal spring. Upcoming June reports from NASA GISS and NOAA will provide the final May values used for market resolution, with any late-month heat anomalies capable of shifting the result within the narrow leading range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMay 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC 78%
<1.10ºC 19%
1.15–1.19ºC 4.7%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
$139,986 वॉल्यूम
$139,986 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
<1.10ºC
19%
1.10–1.14ºC
78%
1.15–1.19ºC
5%
1.20–1.24ºC
<1%
1.25–1.29ºC
<1%
>1.29ºC
<1%
1.10–1.14ºC 78%
<1.10ºC 19%
1.15–1.19ºC 4.7%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
$139,986 वॉल्यूम
$139,986 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
<1.10ºC
$40,850 वॉल्यूम
19%
1.10–1.14ºC
$18,961 वॉल्यूम
78%
1.15–1.19ºC
$23,819 वॉल्यूम
5%
1.20–1.24ºC
$18,398 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.25–1.29ºC
$16,950 वॉल्यूम
<1%
>1.29ºC
$21,008 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent global surface temperature data from agencies including Copernicus and NOAA show 2026 monthly anomalies tracking near or slightly below 2025 levels amid a weakening La Niña that has modestly suppressed ocean heat release, keeping May readings aligned with the 1.10–1.14 °C bin above the 1951–1980 baseline. The long-term anthropogenic warming trend, reinforced by elevated ocean heat content, continues to anchor outcomes above 1.10 °C despite the absence of a strong El Niño this year, while model consensus from dynamical forecasts indicates only limited further cooling through boreal spring. Upcoming June reports from NASA GISS and NOAA will provide the final May values used for market resolution, with any late-month heat anomalies capable of shifting the result within the narrow leading range.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$139,986समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent global surface temperature data from agencies including Copernicus and NOAA show 2026 monthly anomalies tracking near or slightly below 2025 levels amid a weakening La Niña that has modestly suppressed ocean heat release, keeping May readings aligned with the 1.10–1.14 °C bin above the 1951–1980 baseline. The long-term anthropogenic warming trend, reinforced by elevated ocean heat content, continues to anchor outcomes above 1.10 °C despite the absence of a strong El Niño this year, while model consensus from dynamical forecasts indicates only limited further cooling through boreal spring. Upcoming June reports from NASA GISS and NOAA will provide the final May values used for market resolution, with any late-month heat anomalies capable of shifting the result within the narrow leading range.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$139,986समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global surface temperature data from agencies including Copernicus and NOAA show 2026 monthly anomalies tracking near or slightly below 2025 levels amid a weakening La Niña that has modestly suppressed ocean heat release, keeping May readings aligned with the 1.10–1.14 °C bin above the 1951–1980 baseline. The long-term anthropogenic warming trend, reinforced by elevated ocean heat content, continues to anchor outcomes above 1.10 °C despite the absence of a strong El Niño this year, while model consensus from dynamical forecasts indicates only limited further cooling through boreal spring. Upcoming June reports from NASA GISS and NOAA will provide the final May values used for market resolution, with any late-month heat anomalies capable of shifting the result within the narrow leading range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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