Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 12°C at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) on April 17, driven by official NOAA observational data showing peak readings around 54°F (12°C) amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds gusting to 15-20 km/h that suppressed daytime heating. Morning temperatures hovered near 9-11°C under overcast skies, with little solar insolation to drive warming beyond this level, aligning with recent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS that anticipated cool, unsettled conditions from a low-pressure system over the Black Sea. As evening sets in with dropping temperatures to 10°C and clearing unlikely before midnight, resolution appears certain; only an anomalous late-afternoon sensor revision upward could challenge this, though airport METAR reports confirm stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$57,910 वॉल्यूम
$57,910 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$57,910 वॉल्यूम
$57,910 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
8°C or below
$2,667 वॉल्यूम
No
9°C
$1,786 वॉल्यूम
No
10°C
$4,144 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$13,566 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$5,631 वॉल्यूम
Yes
13°C
$8,487 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$9,609 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$4,716 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$3,430 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$1,862 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C or higher
$2,011 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 12°C at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) on April 17, driven by official NOAA observational data showing peak readings around 54°F (12°C) amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds gusting to 15-20 km/h that suppressed daytime heating. Morning temperatures hovered near 9-11°C under overcast skies, with little solar insolation to drive warming beyond this level, aligning with recent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS that anticipated cool, unsettled conditions from a low-pressure system over the Black Sea. As evening sets in with dropping temperatures to 10°C and clearing unlikely before midnight, resolution appears certain; only an anomalous late-afternoon sensor revision upward could challenge this, though airport METAR reports confirm stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$57,910समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 12°C at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) on April 17, driven by official NOAA observational data showing peak readings around 54°F (12°C) amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds gusting to 15-20 km/h that suppressed daytime heating. Morning temperatures hovered near 9-11°C under overcast skies, with little solar insolation to drive warming beyond this level, aligning with recent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS that anticipated cool, unsettled conditions from a low-pressure system over the Black Sea. As evening sets in with dropping temperatures to 10°C and clearing unlikely before midnight, resolution appears certain; only an anomalous late-afternoon sensor revision upward could challenge this, though airport METAR reports confirm stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$57,910समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 12°C at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) on April 17, driven by official NOAA observational data showing peak readings around 54°F (12°C) amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds gusting to 15-20 km/h that suppressed daytime heating. Morning temperatures hovered near 9-11°C under overcast skies, with little solar insolation to drive warming beyond this level, aligning with recent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS that anticipated cool, unsettled conditions from a low-pressure system over the Black Sea. As evening sets in with dropping temperatures to 10°C and clearing unlikely before midnight, resolution appears certain; only an anomalous late-afternoon sensor revision upward could challenge this, though airport METAR reports confirm stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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