Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached 14°C today, driving the market's 99.7% implied probability on that outcome as the day nears resolution. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and a cool air mass over the eastern Mediterranean—consistent with recent ECMWF and GFS model ensembles—suppressed daytime heating, aligning precisely with hourly station data from key sites like Istanbul Airport and Goztepe. April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 15-17°C but frequent cooler days below 15°C under similar synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon measurement revision or outlier urban heat island effect pushing above 14°C, though minimal with sunset approaching and no upward forecast shifts. Final MGM daily report expected soon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
14°C 99.5%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$49,878 वॉल्यूम
$49,878 वॉल्यूम
18 अप्रैल, 2026
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.5%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$49,878 वॉल्यूम
$49,878 वॉल्यूम
18 अप्रैल, 2026
14°C
$10,461 वॉल्यूम
100%
15°C
$9,422 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$3,655 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$1,313 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$1,586 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,540 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached 14°C today, driving the market's 99.7% implied probability on that outcome as the day nears resolution. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and a cool air mass over the eastern Mediterranean—consistent with recent ECMWF and GFS model ensembles—suppressed daytime heating, aligning precisely with hourly station data from key sites like Istanbul Airport and Goztepe. April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 15-17°C but frequent cooler days below 15°C under similar synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon measurement revision or outlier urban heat island effect pushing above 14°C, though minimal with sunset approaching and no upward forecast shifts. Final MGM daily report expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$49,878समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached 14°C today, driving the market's 99.7% implied probability on that outcome as the day nears resolution. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and a cool air mass over the eastern Mediterranean—consistent with recent ECMWF and GFS model ensembles—suppressed daytime heating, aligning precisely with hourly station data from key sites like Istanbul Airport and Goztepe. April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 15-17°C but frequent cooler days below 15°C under similar synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon measurement revision or outlier urban heat island effect pushing above 14°C, though minimal with sunset approaching and no upward forecast shifts. Final MGM daily report expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$49,878समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached 14°C today, driving the market's 99.7% implied probability on that outcome as the day nears resolution. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and a cool air mass over the eastern Mediterranean—consistent with recent ECMWF and GFS model ensembles—suppressed daytime heating, aligning precisely with hourly station data from key sites like Istanbul Airport and Goztepe. April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 15-17°C but frequent cooler days below 15°C under similar synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon measurement revision or outlier urban heat island effect pushing above 14°C, though minimal with sunset approaching and no upward forecast shifts. Final MGM daily report expected soon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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