Skip to main content
icon for GPT 4.5 released by...?

GPT 4.5 released by...?

icon for GPT 4.5 released by...?

GPT 4.5 released by...?

$214,094 वॉल्यूम

28 फ़र, 2025
Polymarket

$214,094 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

February 28

$141,504 वॉल्यूम

Yes

March 31

$72,590 वॉल्यूम

Yes

On February 12, Sam Altman tweeted that OpenAI planned on releasing GPT-4.5 (Orion) in the coming weeks (see:https://x.com/sama/status/1889755723078443244) This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4.5 model is made available to the general public by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-4.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-4.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-4.5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-3.5. If GPT-5 is released before GPT-4.5 is released, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting. On February 12, Sam Altman tweeted that OpenAI planned on releasing GPT-4.5 (Orion) in the coming weeks (see:https://x.com/sama/status/1889755723078443244) This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4.5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-4.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-4.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-4.5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-3.5. If GPT-5 is released before GPT-4.5 is released, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

On February 12, Sam Altman tweeted that OpenAI planned on releasing GPT-4.5 (Orion) in the coming weeks (see:https://x.com/sama/status/1889755723078443244)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4.5 model is made available to the general public by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-4.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

GPT-4.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-4.5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-3.5.

If GPT-5 is released before GPT-4.5 is released, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$214,094
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2025
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 12, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
On February 12, Sam Altman tweeted that OpenAI planned on releasing GPT-4.5 (Orion) in the coming weeks (see:https://x.com/sama/status/1889755723078443244) This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4.5 model is made available to the general public by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-4.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-4.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-4.5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-3.5. If GPT-5 is released before GPT-4.5 is released, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes

कोई विवाद नहीं

अंतिम परिणाम: Yes

On February 12, Sam Altman tweeted that OpenAI planned on releasing GPT-4.5 (Orion) in the coming weeks (see:https://x.com/sama/status/1889755723078443244) This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4.5 model is made available to the general public by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-4.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-4.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-4.5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-3.5. If GPT-5 is released before GPT-4.5 is released, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting. On February 12, Sam Altman tweeted that OpenAI planned on releasing GPT-4.5 (Orion) in the coming weeks (see:https://x.com/sama/status/1889755723078443244) This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4.5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-4.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-4.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-4.5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-3.5. If GPT-5 is released before GPT-4.5 is released, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

On February 12, Sam Altman tweeted that OpenAI planned on releasing GPT-4.5 (Orion) in the coming weeks (see:https://x.com/sama/status/1889755723078443244)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4.5 model is made available to the general public by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-4.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

GPT-4.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-4.5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-3.5.

If GPT-5 is released before GPT-4.5 is released, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$214,094
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2025
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 12, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
On February 12, Sam Altman tweeted that OpenAI planned on releasing GPT-4.5 (Orion) in the coming weeks (see:https://x.com/sama/status/1889755723078443244) This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4.5 model is made available to the general public by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-4.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-4.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-4.5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-3.5. If GPT-5 is released before GPT-4.5 is released, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes

कोई विवाद नहीं

अंतिम परिणाम: Yes

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"GPT 4.5 released by...?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, February 28 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद March 31 100% पर है।

आज तक, "GPT 4.5 released by...?" ने कुल $214.1K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Feb 12, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"GPT 4.5 released by...?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"GPT 4.5 released by...?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "February 28" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "March 31" 100% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"GPT 4.5 released by...?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।