OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money valuation from the March $122 billion round, anchors trader sentiment around a potential $1 trillion-plus IPO debut. Monthly revenue has reached a $2 billion run-rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent, yet the firm remains unprofitable amid heavy compute outlays. Market-implied odds reflect this tension: the 32.6 percent probability on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion captures upside from continued hyper-growth and AI leadership, while the combined 50.4 percent across the $1–1.5 trillion bands and 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 embed risks from cash burn, regulatory scrutiny, and a deliberate delay to secure higher pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1.5T+ 32.6%
1T–1.25T 20.4%
1.25T–1.5T 19%
750B–1T 12%
$84,158 वॉल्यूम
$84,158 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
4%
750B–1T
12%
1T–1.25T
20%
1.25T–1.5T
19%
1.5T+
33%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं
10%
1.5T+ 32.6%
1T–1.25T 20.4%
1.25T–1.5T 19%
750B–1T 12%
$84,158 वॉल्यूम
$84,158 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
<500B
$6,079 वॉल्यूम
1%
500–750B
$8,096 वॉल्यूम
4%
750B–1T
$8,975 वॉल्यूम
12%
1T–1.25T
$13,974 वॉल्यूम
20%
1.25T–1.5T
$7,763 वॉल्यूम
19%
1.5T+
$20,040 वॉल्यूम
33%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं
$19,231 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money valuation from the March $122 billion round, anchors trader sentiment around a potential $1 trillion-plus IPO debut. Monthly revenue has reached a $2 billion run-rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent, yet the firm remains unprofitable amid heavy compute outlays. Market-implied odds reflect this tension: the 32.6 percent probability on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion captures upside from continued hyper-growth and AI leadership, while the combined 50.4 percent across the $1–1.5 trillion bands and 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 embed risks from cash burn, regulatory scrutiny, and a deliberate delay to secure higher pricing.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$84,158समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money valuation from the March $122 billion round, anchors trader sentiment around a potential $1 trillion-plus IPO debut. Monthly revenue has reached a $2 billion run-rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent, yet the firm remains unprofitable amid heavy compute outlays. Market-implied odds reflect this tension: the 32.6 percent probability on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion captures upside from continued hyper-growth and AI leadership, while the combined 50.4 percent across the $1–1.5 trillion bands and 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 embed risks from cash burn, regulatory scrutiny, and a deliberate delay to secure higher pricing.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$84,158समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money valuation from the March $122 billion round, anchors trader sentiment around a potential $1 trillion-plus IPO debut. Monthly revenue has reached a $2 billion run-rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent, yet the firm remains unprofitable amid heavy compute outlays. Market-implied odds reflect this tension: the 32.6 percent probability on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion captures upside from continued hyper-growth and AI leadership, while the combined 50.4 percent across the $1–1.5 trillion bands and 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 embed risks from cash burn, regulatory scrutiny, and a deliberate delay to secure higher pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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