Anthropic’s September 1 release of Claude Fable 5.1, which posted the highest verified BenchAlign score at 84.36 and edged OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (84.11), has anchored trader consensus around the company’s frontier models. Multiple Claude variants continue to dominate independent leaderboards for reasoning, agentic coding, and long-context performance, while OpenAI’s recent flagship sits a close but consistent second and Google’s Gemini releases trail further behind. With roughly seven weeks remaining until the October resolution, the narrow window limits the scope for meaningful catch-up releases or benchmark reversals, reinforcing market-implied odds that heavily favor Anthropic over lower-probability contenders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 74%
OpenAI 17.3%
Google 7.8%
Meta <1%
$223,702 वॉल्यूम
$223,702 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
Anthropic
74%
OpenAI
17%
8%
Meta
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Z.ai
1%
Alibaba
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 74%
OpenAI 17.3%
Google 7.8%
Meta <1%
$223,702 वॉल्यूम
$223,702 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
Anthropic
$37,465 वॉल्यूम
74%
OpenAI
$21,934 वॉल्यूम
17%
$19,528 वॉल्यूम
8%
Meta
$20,305 वॉल्यूम
1%
SpaceXAI
$16,165 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$18,011 वॉल्यूम
1%
Alibaba
$13,579 वॉल्यूम
<1%
DeepSeek
$16,964 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Moonshot
$14,696 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$11,352 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$11,129 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,471 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$2,066 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Nvidia
$7,360 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Thinky
$925 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MiniMax
$1,262 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mistral
$1,800 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$4,875 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Tencent
$949 वॉल्यूम
<1%
StepFun
$540 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Microsoft
$1,327 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s September 1 release of Claude Fable 5.1, which posted the highest verified BenchAlign score at 84.36 and edged OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (84.11), has anchored trader consensus around the company’s frontier models. Multiple Claude variants continue to dominate independent leaderboards for reasoning, agentic coding, and long-context performance, while OpenAI’s recent flagship sits a close but consistent second and Google’s Gemini releases trail further behind. With roughly seven weeks remaining until the October resolution, the narrow window limits the scope for meaningful catch-up releases or benchmark reversals, reinforcing market-implied odds that heavily favor Anthropic over lower-probability contenders.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$223,702समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s September 1 release of Claude Fable 5.1, which posted the highest verified BenchAlign score at 84.36 and edged OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (84.11), has anchored trader consensus around the company’s frontier models. Multiple Claude variants continue to dominate independent leaderboards for reasoning, agentic coding, and long-context performance, while OpenAI’s recent flagship sits a close but consistent second and Google’s Gemini releases trail further behind. With roughly seven weeks remaining until the October resolution, the narrow window limits the scope for meaningful catch-up releases or benchmark reversals, reinforcing market-implied odds that heavily favor Anthropic over lower-probability contenders.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$223,702समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s September 1 release of Claude Fable 5.1, which posted the highest verified BenchAlign score at 84.36 and edged OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (84.11), has anchored trader consensus around the company’s frontier models. Multiple Claude variants continue to dominate independent leaderboards for reasoning, agentic coding, and long-context performance, while OpenAI’s recent flagship sits a close but consistent second and Google’s Gemini releases trail further behind. With roughly seven weeks remaining until the October resolution, the narrow window limits the scope for meaningful catch-up releases or benchmark reversals, reinforcing market-implied odds that heavily favor Anthropic over lower-probability contenders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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