NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information released its April 2026 global climate report around May 10, confirming the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index anomaly at 1.17°C above the 1901-2000 twentieth-century average—firmly within the 1.15–1.19ºC bin—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the primary resolution source. This aligns with Copernicus ERA5 data showing a +1.43°C anomaly relative to the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline and +0.52°C above 1991-2020, reflecting second-highest sea surface temperatures amid an emerging El Niño in the equatorial Pacific. Datasets differ due to measurement methodologies (land stations plus ocean buoys vs. reanalysis models), but cross-verification reinforces certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-release revisions by NOAA, though final figures exhibit high stability; no major updates expected.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल 2026 तापमान वृद्धि (ºC)
अप्रैल 2026 तापमान वृद्धि (ºC)
1.15–1.19ºC 100.0%
<1.10ºC <1%
1.10–1.14ºC <1%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
$383,569 वॉल्यूम
$383,569 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
<1.10ºC
नहीं
1.10–1.14ºC
नहीं
1.15–1.19ºC
हाँ
1.20–1.24ºC
नहीं
1.25–1.29ºC
नहीं
>1.29ºC
नहीं
1.15–1.19ºC 100.0%
<1.10ºC <1%
1.10–1.14ºC <1%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
$383,569 वॉल्यूम
$383,569 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
<1.10ºC
$64,037 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
1.10–1.14ºC
$65,723 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
1.15–1.19ºC
$56,227 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
1.20–1.24ºC
$79,792 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
1.25–1.29ºC
$65,973 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
>1.29ºC
$51,817 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information released its April 2026 global climate report around May 10, confirming the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index anomaly at 1.17°C above the 1901-2000 twentieth-century average—firmly within the 1.15–1.19ºC bin—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the primary resolution source. This aligns with Copernicus ERA5 data showing a +1.43°C anomaly relative to the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline and +0.52°C above 1991-2020, reflecting second-highest sea surface temperatures amid an emerging El Niño in the equatorial Pacific. Datasets differ due to measurement methodologies (land stations plus ocean buoys vs. reanalysis models), but cross-verification reinforces certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-release revisions by NOAA, though final figures exhibit high stability; no major updates expected.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$383,569समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information released its April 2026 global climate report around May 10, confirming the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index anomaly at 1.17°C above the 1901-2000 twentieth-century average—firmly within the 1.15–1.19ºC bin—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the primary resolution source. This aligns with Copernicus ERA5 data showing a +1.43°C anomaly relative to the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline and +0.52°C above 1991-2020, reflecting second-highest sea surface temperatures amid an emerging El Niño in the equatorial Pacific. Datasets differ due to measurement methodologies (land stations plus ocean buoys vs. reanalysis models), but cross-verification reinforces certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-release revisions by NOAA, though final figures exhibit high stability; no major updates expected.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$383,569समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information released its April 2026 global climate report around May 10, confirming the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index anomaly at 1.17°C above the 1901-2000 twentieth-century average—firmly within the 1.15–1.19ºC bin—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the primary resolution source. This aligns with Copernicus ERA5 data showing a +1.43°C anomaly relative to the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline and +0.52°C above 1991-2020, reflecting second-highest sea surface temperatures amid an emerging El Niño in the equatorial Pacific. Datasets differ due to measurement methodologies (land stations plus ocean buoys vs. reanalysis models), but cross-verification reinforces certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-release revisions by NOAA, though final figures exhibit high stability; no major updates expected.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न