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Politique·Danemark

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Market icon
Politique·Danemark

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

$16,143 Vol.

Mar 24, 2026
Polymarket

$16,143 Vol.

Polymarket

Social Democrats

$1,665 Vol.

97%

Moderates

$922 Vol.

97%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$0 Vol.

78%

Green Left

$688 Vol.

79%

Conservative People’s Party

$65 Vol.

50%

Venstre

$0 Vol.

48%

Denmark Democrats

$125 Vol.

21%

Liberal Alliance

$0 Vol.

13%

The Alternative

$2,967 Vol.

5%

Red–Green Alliance

$0 Vol.

17%

Naleraq

$0 Vol.

2%

Danish People’s Party

$380 Vol.

8%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$0 Vol.

2%

Citizens’ Party

$3,066 Vol.

2%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$0 Vol.

1%

Union Party

$6,266 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's Folketing parliament uses proportional representation, typically requiring coalition or minority governments to secure a majority among 179 seats. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats lead the current minority coalition with the Liberal Party (Venstre) and Moderates, formed after the 2022 election and stable since despite no-confidence challenges. June 2024 local and regional elections signaled voter shifts, with center-right parties like the Conservatives and Danish People's Party gaining amid immigration and welfare debates, though national polls keep Social Democrats ahead at around 25-30%. No snap election has been announced, but traders monitor budget negotiations and potential no-confidence votes as triggers before the mandatory 2026 vote. Fragmented polling suggests complex coalition talks post-election, favoring centrist deals over extremes.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$16,143
Date de fin
Mar 24, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's Folketing parliament uses proportional representation, typically requiring coalition or minority governments to secure a majority among 179 seats. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats lead the current minority coalition with the Liberal Party (Venstre) and Moderates, formed after the 2022 election and stable since despite no-confidence challenges. June 2024 local and regional elections signaled voter shifts, with center-right parties like the Conservatives and Danish People's Party gaining amid immigration and welfare debates, though national polls keep Social Democrats ahead at around 25-30%. No snap election has been announced, but traders monitor budget negotiations and potential no-confidence votes as triggers before the mandatory 2026 vote. Fragmented polling suggests complex coalition talks post-election, favoring centrist deals over extremes.

Denmark's Folketing parliament uses proportional representation, typically requiring coalition or minority governments to secure a majority among 179 seats. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats lead the current minority coalition with the Liberal Party (Venstre) and Moderates, formed after the 2022 election and stable since despite no-confidence challenges. June 2024 local and regional elections signaled voter shifts, with center-right parties like the Conservatives and Danish People's Party gaining amid immigration and welfare debates, though national polls keep Social Democrats ahead at around 25-30%. No snap election has been announced, but traders monitor budget negotiations and potential no-confidence votes as triggers before the mandatory 2026 vote. Fragmented polling suggests complex coalition talks post-election, favoring centrist deals over extremes.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Social Democrats » à 97%, suivi de « Moderates » à 97%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark? » a généré $16.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark? », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark? » est « Social Democrats » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Moderates » à 97%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.