Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
Alibaba <1%
xAI <1%
$36,331,301 Vol.
$36,331,301 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025

Oui

OpenAI
Non

Alibaba
Non

xAI
Non

Anthropic
Non

Meta
Non

Mistral AI
Non

DeepSeek
Non

Microsoft
Non

Z.ai
Non

Tencent
Non

Moonshot
Non
Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
Alibaba <1%
xAI <1%
$36,331,301 Vol.
$36,331,301 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025

$4,201,493 Vol.
Oui

OpenAI
$2,799,960 Vol.
Non

Alibaba
$2,355,571 Vol.
Non

xAI
$2,476,743 Vol.
Non

Anthropic
$2,632,067 Vol.
Non

Meta
$1,794,863 Vol.
Non

Mistral AI
$1,640,870 Vol.
Non

DeepSeek
$2,069,280 Vol.
Non

Microsoft
$8,697,440 Vol.
Non

Z.ai
$1,870,945 Vol.
Non

Tencent
$4,063,680 Vol.
Non

Moonshot
$1,728,389 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company D has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company D with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company D has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company D with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company D with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Dec 31, 2024, 3:23 PM ET
Volume
$36,331,301Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025Marché ouvert
Dec 31, 2024, 3:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non

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