Gold prices have pulled back sharply in late March 2026, with spot settling near $4,430 per ounce amid a firmer U.S. dollar and scaled-back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, as persistent inflation data—fueled by oil disruptions—prompts a hawkish repricing of the policy path. March CPI and nonfarm payrolls exceeded forecasts, pushing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% and the DXY index to multi-month highs, traditional headwinds for non-yielding gold. Despite the dip, structural supports persist from robust central bank buying and ETF inflows, with consensus forecasts eyeing $5,000–$6,300 by December amid anticipated Fed easing later in the year. Key catalysts include the April 29–30 FOMC meeting, Q2 GDP release, and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que l'or (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin décembre ?
Qu'est-ce que l'or (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin décembre ?
$172,761 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 15 000 $
5%
↑ 12 000 $
8%
↑ 10 000 $
12%
↑ 8 000 $
10%
↑ 7 000 $
22%
↑ 6 000 $
48%
$172,761 Vol.
↑ 15 000 $
$17,441 Vol.
5%
↑ 12 000 $
$34,012 Vol.
8%
↑ 10 000 $
$15,017 Vol.
12%
↑ 8 000 $
$9,635 Vol.
10%
↑ 7 000 $
$22,510 Vol.
22%
↑ 6 000 $
$74,197 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices have pulled back sharply in late March 2026, with spot settling near $4,430 per ounce amid a firmer U.S. dollar and scaled-back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, as persistent inflation data—fueled by oil disruptions—prompts a hawkish repricing of the policy path. March CPI and nonfarm payrolls exceeded forecasts, pushing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% and the DXY index to multi-month highs, traditional headwinds for non-yielding gold. Despite the dip, structural supports persist from robust central bank buying and ETF inflows, with consensus forecasts eyeing $5,000–$6,300 by December amid anticipated Fed easing later in the year. Key catalysts include the April 29–30 FOMC meeting, Q2 GDP release, and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Volume
$172,761Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices have pulled back sharply in late March 2026, with spot settling near $4,430 per ounce amid a firmer U.S. dollar and scaled-back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, as persistent inflation data—fueled by oil disruptions—prompts a hawkish repricing of the policy path. March CPI and nonfarm payrolls exceeded forecasts, pushing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% and the DXY index to multi-month highs, traditional headwinds for non-yielding gold. Despite the dip, structural supports persist from robust central bank buying and ETF inflows, with consensus forecasts eyeing $5,000–$6,300 by December amid anticipated Fed easing later in the year. Key catalysts include the April 29–30 FOMC meeting, Q2 GDP release, and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$172,761Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices have pulled back sharply in late March 2026, with spot settling near $4,430 per ounce amid a firmer U.S. dollar and scaled-back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, as persistent inflation data—fueled by oil disruptions—prompts a hawkish repricing of the policy path. March CPI and nonfarm payrolls exceeded forecasts, pushing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% and the DXY index to multi-month highs, traditional headwinds for non-yielding gold. Despite the dip, structural supports persist from robust central bank buying and ETF inflows, with consensus forecasts eyeing $5,000–$6,300 by December amid anticipated Fed easing later in the year. Key catalysts include the April 29–30 FOMC meeting, Q2 GDP release, and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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