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Finance·Fonctionnalités De COMEX Or

Qu'est-ce que l'or (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin décembre ?

Market icon
Finance·Fonctionnalités De COMEX Or

Qu'est-ce que l'or (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin décembre ?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$172,677 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$172,677 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 15 000 $

$17,411 Vol.

5%

↑ 12 000 $

$33,998 Vol.

7%

↑ 10 000 $

$15,017 Vol.

12%

↑ 8 000 $

$9,543 Vol.

11%

↑ 7 000 $

$22,510 Vol.

23%

↑ 6 000 $

$74,197 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have corrected over 20% from a January 2026 peak near $5,600/oz to settle around $4,492 for the March contract as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve projections from the March 18-19 FOMC meeting signaling no further rate cuts in 2026 amid elevated core PCE inflation forecasts of 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing tighter monetary policy expectations and bolstering the U.S. Dollar Index near 100, which pressures dollar-denominated gold. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions offer tailwinds, but trader consensus via analyst targets (e.g., Goldman Sachs at $5,400 end-2026) reflects balanced risk. Key catalysts include April CPI release and May FOMC, which could recalibrate the policy path and real yield dynamics.

Gold (GC) futures have corrected over 20% from a January 2026 peak near $5,600/oz to settle around $4,492 for the March contract as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve projections from the March 18-19 FOMC meeting signaling no further rate cuts in 2026 amid elevated core PCE inflation forecasts of 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing tighter monetary policy expectations and bolstering the U.S. Dollar Index near 100, which pressures dollar-denominated gold. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions offer tailwinds, but trader consensus via analyst targets (e.g., Goldman Sachs at $5,400 end-2026) reflects balanced risk. Key catalysts include April CPI release and May FOMC, which could recalibrate the policy path and real yield dynamics.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have corrected over 20% from a January 2026 peak near $5,600/oz to settle around $4,492 for the March contract as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve projections from the March 18-19 FOMC meeting signaling no further rate cuts in 2026 amid elevated core PCE inflation forecasts of 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing tighter monetary policy expectations and bolstering the U.S. Dollar Index near 100, which pressures dollar-denominated gold. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions offer tailwinds, but trader consensus via analyst targets (e.g., Goldman Sachs at $5,400 end-2026) reflects balanced risk. Key catalysts include April CPI release and May FOMC, which could recalibrate the policy path and real yield dynamics.

Gold (GC) futures have corrected over 20% from a January 2026 peak near $5,600/oz to settle around $4,492 for the March contract as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve projections from the March 18-19 FOMC meeting signaling no further rate cuts in 2026 amid elevated core PCE inflation forecasts of 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing tighter monetary policy expectations and bolstering the U.S. Dollar Index near 100, which pressures dollar-denominated gold. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions offer tailwinds, but trader consensus via analyst targets (e.g., Goldman Sachs at $5,400 end-2026) reflects balanced risk. Key catalysts include April CPI release and May FOMC, which could recalibrate the policy path and real yield dynamics.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Qu'est-ce que l'or (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin décembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ↑ 6 000 $ » à 48%, suivi de « ↑ 7 000 $ » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 48¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qu'est-ce que l'or (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin décembre ? » a généré $172.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qu'est-ce que l'or (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin décembre ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qu'est-ce que l'or (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin décembre ? » est « ↑ 6 000 $ » à 48%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ↑ 7 000 $ » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qu'est-ce que l'or (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin décembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.