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What will be said during the Oscars?

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What will be said during the Oscars?

NEW

$11,477 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026
Polymarket

$11,477 Vol.

Polymarket

Chalamet 5+ times

$202 Vol.

85%

Epstein

$61 Vol.

41%

President

$12 Vol.

54%

Trump

$7,306 Vol.

65%

Ellison

$0 Vol.

44%

Ukraine

$13 Vol.

46%

Netflix

$187 Vol.

94%

Kylie

$0 Vol.

45%

Leo

$11 Vol.

58%

Elon

$0 Vol.

40%

Palestine

$0 Vol.

64%

Will Smith / Punch

$0 Vol.

44%

Shame

$6 Vol.

47%

Hottest

$0 Vol.

47%

Sex

$0 Vol.

44%

Alien

$6 Vol.

47%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$15 Vol.

60%

Peace

$1 Vol.

75%

Zionist / Zionism

$0 Vol.

43%

White House

$0 Vol.

46%

Middle East

$0 Vol.

51%

Greenland

$0 Vol.

44%

Iran / Iranian

$3,373 Vol.

74%

Ice Out / Fuck Ice

$1 Vol.

43%

Polymarket

$10 Vol.

42%

Dream Big

$145 Vol.

36%

Mom

$117 Vol.

85%

Charlie Kirk

$0 Vol.

40%

Anthropic / Claude

$9 Vol.

41%

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If no such stream is aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the official ABC broadcast of this event.
Volume
$11,477
Date de fin
Mar 15, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such stream is aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the official ABC broadcast of this event.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be said during the Oscars?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Netflix" at 94%, followed by "Chalamet 5+ times" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be said during the Oscars?" has generated $11.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be said during the Oscars?," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be said during the Oscars?" is "Netflix" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chalamet 5+ times" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be said during the Oscars?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.