Apple TV+ holds a commanding 63.1% implied probability as the platform most likely to secure the most 2026 Emmy wins, driven by its strong performance in the recent Creative Arts ceremonies where it leads with 19 awards—bolstered by eight wins for breakout comedy-horror *Widow’s Bay*—ahead of HBO/Max’s 16 and Netflix’s 13. Despite HBO/Max topping overall nominations with 122 (led by *The Pitt* and *Hacks*) versus Apple TV+’s record 87, the current win tally and remaining major categories create momentum favoring Apple TV+ for its first-ever platform crown or a potential tie. Trader consensus reflects this late-stage edge heading into the September 14 telecast, while lower probabilities for Netflix and others align with their diminished contention after early rounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel service de streaming remportera le plus d'Emmys ?
Apple TV 66.4%
HBO Max 11.6%
Netflix 7%
Hulu <1%
$84,995 Vol.
$84,995 Vol.

Apple TV
72%

HBO Max
12%

Netflix
7%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
Apple TV 66.4%
HBO Max 11.6%
Netflix 7%
Hulu <1%
$84,995 Vol.
$84,995 Vol.

Apple TV
72%

HBO Max
12%

Netflix
7%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Apple TV+ holds a commanding 63.1% implied probability as the platform most likely to secure the most 2026 Emmy wins, driven by its strong performance in the recent Creative Arts ceremonies where it leads with 19 awards—bolstered by eight wins for breakout comedy-horror *Widow’s Bay*—ahead of HBO/Max’s 16 and Netflix’s 13. Despite HBO/Max topping overall nominations with 122 (led by *The Pitt* and *Hacks*) versus Apple TV+’s record 87, the current win tally and remaining major categories create momentum favoring Apple TV+ for its first-ever platform crown or a potential tie. Trader consensus reflects this late-stage edge heading into the September 14 telecast, while lower probabilities for Netflix and others align with their diminished contention after early rounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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