Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League after a commanding 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 victory over Bayer Leverkusen, positioning them favorably against Sporting CP in the quarter-finals—despite the away first leg on April 7—amid a perceived clearer path to the final at Puskás Aréna. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% following their 10-2 demolition of Atalanta, but faces a daunting Real Madrid clash where Thibaut Courtois's two-month injury absence looms large. Barcelona sits at 16.5% despite Raphinha's confirmed quarter-final absence, buoyed by an 8-3 thrashing of Newcastle, while PSG (12.5%) and Liverpool (7.5%) enter a stylistic showdown after dominant knockouts. The bunched top probabilities reflect high-stakes ties—Real Madrid-Bayern blockbuster, Barcelona-Atlético derby—that risk weakening favorites, underscoring the knockout phase's unpredictability with no clear runaway leader.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTitre d'élément de groupe : Arsenal 27%
Titre d'élément de groupe : Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,097,831 Vol.
$221,097,831 Vol.
Titre d'élément de groupe : Arsenal
27%
Titre d'élément de groupe : Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Titre d'élément de groupe : Arsenal 27%
Titre d'élément de groupe : Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,097,831 Vol.
$221,097,831 Vol.
Titre d'élément de groupe : Arsenal
27%
Titre d'élément de groupe : Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League after a commanding 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 victory over Bayer Leverkusen, positioning them favorably against Sporting CP in the quarter-finals—despite the away first leg on April 7—amid a perceived clearer path to the final at Puskás Aréna. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% following their 10-2 demolition of Atalanta, but faces a daunting Real Madrid clash where Thibaut Courtois's two-month injury absence looms large. Barcelona sits at 16.5% despite Raphinha's confirmed quarter-final absence, buoyed by an 8-3 thrashing of Newcastle, while PSG (12.5%) and Liverpool (7.5%) enter a stylistic showdown after dominant knockouts. The bunched top probabilities reflect high-stakes ties—Real Madrid-Bayern blockbuster, Barcelona-Atlético derby—that risk weakening favorites, underscoring the knockout phase's unpredictability with no clear runaway leader.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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