Sweden's 48.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from home advantage at Strawberry Arena and Viktor Gyökeres' hat-trick in their 3-1 semi-final win over Ukraine, signaling potent attacking form under coach Graham Potter despite absences like Alexander Isak and Dejan Kulusevski. Poland, at 24.5%, advanced 2-1 against Albania via Robert Lewandowski and Piotr Zieliński—heroes of their 2-0 victory in the 2022 World Cup play-off final—but face a poor record in Solna, losing their last three visits. The 27.5% draw chance highlights the closely contested stakes for the final Group F spot at the 2026 World Cup, with doubts over Sweden's Isak Hien and Gabriel Gudmundsson adding tension to this high-pressure qualifier.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Resolution Source
fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Resolution Source
fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sweden's 48.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from home advantage at Strawberry Arena and Viktor Gyökeres' hat-trick in their 3-1 semi-final win over Ukraine, signaling potent attacking form under coach Graham Potter despite absences like Alexander Isak and Dejan Kulusevski. Poland, at 24.5%, advanced 2-1 against Albania via Robert Lewandowski and Piotr Zieliński—heroes of their 2-0 victory in the 2022 World Cup play-off final—but face a poor record in Solna, losing their last three visits. The 27.5% draw chance highlights the closely contested stakes for the final Group F spot at the 2026 World Cup, with doubts over Sweden's Isak Hien and Gabriel Gudmundsson adding tension to this high-pressure qualifier.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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