Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Arsenal at 53% implied probability to reach the UEFA Champions League final, driven by their perfect league phase record of eight wins, 23 goals scored and just four conceded, capped by a composed 3-1 aggregate round of 16 victory over Bayer Leverkusen including a 2-0 home win. Bayern München follows closely at 43% after demolishing Atalanta 10-2 aggregate in the round of 16, showcasing prolific scoring form. Barcelona sits at 36% post an 8-3 thrashing of Newcastle United. Quarter-final first legs loom April 7-8, pitting Arsenal at Sporting CP, Bayern at Real Madrid (who stunned Manchester City 5-1 aggregate), PSG vs Liverpool, and Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid—matchups that could reshape paths amid home/away advantages and potential upsets in knockout ties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$21,009 Vol.

Arsenal
51%

Bayern Munich
42%

Barcelone
35%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
25%

Real Madrid
22%

Liverpool
17%

Atlético Madrid
12%

Sporting CP
5%
$21,009 Vol.

Arsenal
51%

Bayern Munich
42%

Barcelone
35%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
25%

Real Madrid
22%

Liverpool
17%

Atlético Madrid
12%

Sporting CP
5%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Arsenal at 53% implied probability to reach the UEFA Champions League final, driven by their perfect league phase record of eight wins, 23 goals scored and just four conceded, capped by a composed 3-1 aggregate round of 16 victory over Bayer Leverkusen including a 2-0 home win. Bayern München follows closely at 43% after demolishing Atalanta 10-2 aggregate in the round of 16, showcasing prolific scoring form. Barcelona sits at 36% post an 8-3 thrashing of Newcastle United. Quarter-final first legs loom April 7-8, pitting Arsenal at Sporting CP, Bayern at Real Madrid (who stunned Manchester City 5-1 aggregate), PSG vs Liverpool, and Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid—matchups that could reshape paths amid home/away advantages and potential upsets in knockout ties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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