Trader consensus heavily favors 80-90 million views (69.5% implied probability) for MrBeast's next video in its first week, driven by his consistent track record of blockbuster openings—recent uploads like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" and "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" each surpassed 85 million views within seven days, fueled by escalating prize pots and viral challenges. The 90M+ outcome (26%) reflects optimism around his 380-million-subscriber empire and algorithmic dominance, though lower buckets linger as hedges against potential algorithm shifts or competition from holiday content. Recent hype on X around teaser thumbnails and a rumored mega-collaboration has nudged odds upward, but no official upload date tempers runaway enthusiasm, underscoring YouTube's unpredictable early-momentum dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 70%
90M+ 26%
70-80M 1.8%
50-60M <1%
$671,509 Vol.
$671,509 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
1%
70-80M
2%
80-90M
70%
90M+
26%
80-90M 70%
90M+ 26%
70-80M 1.8%
50-60M <1%
$671,509 Vol.
$671,509 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
1%
70-80M
2%
80-90M
70%
90M+
26%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 80-90 million views (69.5% implied probability) for MrBeast's next video in its first week, driven by his consistent track record of blockbuster openings—recent uploads like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" and "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" each surpassed 85 million views within seven days, fueled by escalating prize pots and viral challenges. The 90M+ outcome (26%) reflects optimism around his 380-million-subscriber empire and algorithmic dominance, though lower buckets linger as hedges against potential algorithm shifts or competition from holiday content. Recent hype on X around teaser thumbnails and a rumored mega-collaboration has nudged odds upward, but no official upload date tempers runaway enthusiasm, underscoring YouTube's unpredictable early-momentum dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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