Trader consensus heavily favors 72–73 million views on day 4 of MrBeast's latest video, "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (released November 30, 2024), with a 74.5% implied probability, driven by its explosive early trajectory—surpassing 60 million views by day 3, aligning with the Beast's historical day-4 averages from mega-hits like "Squid Game" recreations. Robust algorithm favoritism, cross-platform hype on TikTok and Instagram, and sustained weekend momentum bolster this positioning, while slightly slower growth versus prior records caps 73–74M at 3%. Recent X discussions highlight real-time SocialBlade projections supporting 71–73M bins, though holiday distractions could temper upside, underscoring YouTube's volatile view velocity in creator economy dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
72–73M 79%
71–72M 20%
73–74M 2.6%
70–71M <1%
$827,180 Vol.
$827,180 Vol.
<69M
<1%
69–70M
<1%
70–71M
1%
71–72M
20%
72–73M
79%
73–74M
3%
74–75M
<1%
75M+
<1%
72–73M 79%
71–72M 20%
73–74M 2.6%
70–71M <1%
$827,180 Vol.
$827,180 Vol.
<69M
<1%
69–70M
<1%
70–71M
1%
71–72M
20%
72–73M
79%
73–74M
3%
74–75M
<1%
75M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 72–73 million views on day 4 of MrBeast's latest video, "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (released November 30, 2024), with a 74.5% implied probability, driven by its explosive early trajectory—surpassing 60 million views by day 3, aligning with the Beast's historical day-4 averages from mega-hits like "Squid Game" recreations. Robust algorithm favoritism, cross-platform hype on TikTok and Instagram, and sustained weekend momentum bolster this positioning, while slightly slower growth versus prior records caps 73–74M at 3%. Recent X discussions highlight real-time SocialBlade projections supporting 71–73M bins, though holiday distractions could temper upside, underscoring YouTube's volatile view velocity in creator economy dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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