MrBeast's consistent day-one viewership in the 30-40 million range from recent blockbusters like "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000"—which hit 38 million views within 24 hours—drives trader consensus toward the 30-35M (52.5%) and 35-40M (42.7%) bins, with minimal bets on extremes. The tight race between these leaders hinges on pre-release hype: explosive X announcements and teaser engagement signal potential for a 35M+ breakout if the next challenge features mega-giveaways or A-list collabs, but algorithm fatigue and saturation could cap it lower. Key differentiators include thumbnail clickbait strength and drop timing, amid YouTube's evolving push for viral stunts, leaving traders eyeing 32-38M as the sweet spot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour# de vues de la prochaine vidéo MrBeast le jour 1 ?
# de vues de la prochaine vidéo MrBeast le jour 1 ?
30–35 M 53%
35–40M 43.4%
40–45M 1.9%
25–30M <1%
$1,483,563 Vol.
$1,483,563 Vol.
<20M
<1%
20–25M
<1%
25–30M
1%
30–35 M
53%
35–40M
43%
40–45M
2%
45–50M
<1%
50M+
<1%
30–35 M 53%
35–40M 43.4%
40–45M 1.9%
25–30M <1%
$1,483,563 Vol.
$1,483,563 Vol.
<20M
<1%
20–25M
<1%
25–30M
1%
30–35 M
53%
35–40M
43%
40–45M
2%
45–50M
<1%
50M+
<1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast's consistent day-one viewership in the 30-40 million range from recent blockbusters like "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000"—which hit 38 million views within 24 hours—drives trader consensus toward the 30-35M (52.5%) and 35-40M (42.7%) bins, with minimal bets on extremes. The tight race between these leaders hinges on pre-release hype: explosive X announcements and teaser engagement signal potential for a 35M+ breakout if the next challenge features mega-giveaways or A-list collabs, but algorithm fatigue and saturation could cap it lower. Key differentiators include thumbnail clickbait strength and drop timing, amid YouTube's evolving push for viral stunts, leaving traders eyeing 32-38M as the sweet spot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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