Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 30–35 million day-1 views for MrBeast's next YouTube video at 88% implied probability, anchored by his recent track record of 28–37 million first-24-hour hauls on challenge-heavy uploads like survival contests and cash giveaways. After peaking above 50 million with viral recreations such as Squid Game, his past six videos have stabilized in this range amid YouTube's algorithm favoring his 320-million-subscriber empire and extravagant production values. Absent announcements of mega-collabs or holiday timing boosts, traders see little catalyst for breakout into 35–40 million (5.6%) or dips below 25 million, with lower bins dismissed as outliers. Release date speculation on X keeps sentiment steady.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour# de vues de la prochaine vidéo MrBeast le jour 1 ?
# de vues de la prochaine vidéo MrBeast le jour 1 ?
30–35 M 90%
35–40M 5.9%
25–30M 3.5%
20–25M <1%
$1,156,342 Vol.
$1,156,342 Vol.
<20M
<1%
20–25M
<1%
25–30M
4%
30–35 M
90%
35–40M
6%
40–45M
<1%
45–50M
<1%
50M+
<1%
30–35 M 90%
35–40M 5.9%
25–30M 3.5%
20–25M <1%
$1,156,342 Vol.
$1,156,342 Vol.
<20M
<1%
20–25M
<1%
25–30M
4%
30–35 M
90%
35–40M
6%
40–45M
<1%
45–50M
<1%
50M+
<1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 30–35 million day-1 views for MrBeast's next YouTube video at 88% implied probability, anchored by his recent track record of 28–37 million first-24-hour hauls on challenge-heavy uploads like survival contests and cash giveaways. After peaking above 50 million with viral recreations such as Squid Game, his past six videos have stabilized in this range amid YouTube's algorithm favoring his 320-million-subscriber empire and extravagant production values. Absent announcements of mega-collabs or holiday timing boosts, traders see little catalyst for breakout into 35–40 million (5.6%) or dips below 25 million, with lower bins dismissed as outliers. Release date speculation on X keeps sentiment steady.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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