Market icon
Monde·Automatisation Des Récompenses 50 4,5 50

Number of TSA Passengers April 3?

Market icon
Monde·Automatisation Des Récompenses 50 4,5 50

Number of TSA Passengers April 3?

mars 31

avr. 1

avr. 2

avr. 3

mars 31

avr. 1

avr. 2

avr. 3

<3.0M 91%

3.0M-3.2M 25%

3.2M-3.4M <1%

3.4M-3.6M <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<3.0M 91%

3.0M-3.2M 25%

3.2M-3.4M <1%

3.4M-3.6M <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<3.0M

$68 Vol.

70%

3.0M-3.2M

$10 Vol.

25%

3.2M-3.4M

$408 Vol.

1%

3.4M-3.6M

$328 Vol.

<1%

3.6M-3.8M

$343 Vol.

<1%

>3.8M

$551 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus prices under 3 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 3 at a 62% implied probability, driven by consistently sub-3M daily screenings in late March despite spring break hype and record travel forecasts. Official TSA data through March 30 shows volumes peaking at 2.87 million on March 22, with Friday March 27 at 2.74 million, Sunday March 29 at 2.76 million, and Monday March 30 at 2.53 million—all depressed roughly 9% year-over-year amid a DHS shutdown fueling 10%+ TSA callout rates and hours-long lines that deterred flyers. Though agent paychecks were promised March 29 to stabilize operations, traders doubt a Good Friday surge ahead of Easter April 5 will breach 3M, assigning just 25% to the 3.0-3.2M bin amid lingering caution.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$1,708
Date de fin
3 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus prices under 3 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 3 at a 62% implied probability, driven by consistently sub-3M daily screenings in late March despite spring break hype and record travel forecasts. Official TSA data through March 30 shows volumes peaking at 2.87 million on March 22, with Friday March 27 at 2.74 million, Sunday March 29 at 2.76 million, and Monday March 30 at 2.53 million—all depressed roughly 9% year-over-year amid a DHS shutdown fueling 10%+ TSA callout rates and hours-long lines that deterred flyers. Though agent paychecks were promised March 29 to stabilize operations, traders doubt a Good Friday surge ahead of Easter April 5 will breach 3M, assigning just 25% to the 3.0-3.2M bin amid lingering caution.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$1,708
Date de fin
3 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Number of TSA Passengers April 3? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <3.0M » à 70%, suivi de « 3.0M-3.2M » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 70¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 70% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Number of TSA Passengers April 3? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 30, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Number of TSA Passengers April 3? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Number of TSA Passengers April 3? » est « <3.0M » à 70%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 70% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 3.0M-3.2M » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Number of TSA Passengers April 3? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.