UConn leads trader consensus at around 65% implied probability to reach the NCAA Tournament National Championship game, bolstered by their dominant 77-52 rout of Illinois in the Elite Eight and star guard Tristen Newton's return from minor injury concerns. Purdue follows at roughly 25%, leaning on Zach Edey's interior dominance despite NC State's Cinderella run with back-to-back upsets over Marquette and Duke. Alabama's 3-point barrage propelled them past Clemson, but defensive vulnerabilities loom large. Key upcoming factors include rest advantages for East Region survivors, Final Four venue familiarity in Glendale, and historical trends favoring top seeds (7 of last 10 finalists). Momentum shifts quickly—NC State's underdog bark could bite amid crowd wisdom pricing in upsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTournoi NCAA : l'équipe participera au championnat national
Tournoi NCAA : l'équipe participera au championnat national
Houston
55%
Illinois
53%
Miami (FL)
50%
St. John’s
50%
Utah State
50%
Texas
50%
Iowa
49%
Michigan State
44%
Virginia
44%
Michigan
38%
Duke
35%
Arizona
32%
Florida
20%
Purdue
16%
Kentucky
15%
UCLA
13%
Tennessee
50%
UConn
44%
Arkansas
51%
Kansas
50%
Nebraska
50%
Iowa State
44%
Alabama
49%
Texas Tech
50%
$8,368 Vol.
Houston
55%
Illinois
53%
Miami (FL)
50%
St. John’s
50%
Utah State
50%
Texas
50%
Iowa
49%
Michigan State
44%
Virginia
44%
Michigan
38%
Duke
35%
Arizona
32%
Florida
20%
Purdue
16%
Kentucky
15%
UCLA
13%
Tennessee
50%
UConn
44%
Arkansas
51%
Kansas
50%
Nebraska
50%
Iowa State
44%
Alabama
49%
Texas Tech
50%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the National Championship of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, is disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament National Championship game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...UConn leads trader consensus at around 65% implied probability to reach the NCAA Tournament National Championship game, bolstered by their dominant 77-52 rout of Illinois in the Elite Eight and star guard Tristen Newton's return from minor injury concerns. Purdue follows at roughly 25%, leaning on Zach Edey's interior dominance despite NC State's Cinderella run with back-to-back upsets over Marquette and Duke. Alabama's 3-point barrage propelled them past Clemson, but defensive vulnerabilities loom large. Key upcoming factors include rest advantages for East Region survivors, Final Four venue familiarity in Glendale, and historical trends favoring top seeds (7 of last 10 finalists). Momentum shifts quickly—NC State's underdog bark could bite amid crowd wisdom pricing in upsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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