Defending MLS Cup champions Inter Miami CF hold a narrow 18.5% trader consensus edge for the 2026 title, fueled by Lionel Messi's MVP performance in last year's 3-1 playoff final win over Vancouver Whitecaps FC and offseason addition of forward Germán Berterame, though early Eastern Conference form shows them mid-pack after five matches. LAFC trails closely at 17.5% implied probability, leveraging Western Conference dominance atop standings, key acquisition Stephen Eustáquio, and perennial playoff pedigree in the single-elimination format. The bunched top reflects MLS parity, with Vancouver's runner-up momentum, San Diego FC's expansion hype and hot start (fourth in West), and surging sides like Nashville SC and NYCFC keeping the Supporters' Shield and postseason path wide open amid no dominant regular-season force yet.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourInter Miami CF 20%
Los Angeles FC 18%
San Diego FC 7.9%
Whitecaps de Vancouver 7.4%
$9,732,800 Vol.
$9,732,800 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
20%
Los Angeles FC
18%
San Diego FC
8%
Whitecaps de Vancouver
7%
Toronto FC
5%
Nashville SC
5%
New York City FC
4%
Real Salt Lake
4%
FC Cincinnati
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
New York Red Bulls
3%
Columbus Crew
3%
LA Galaxy
3%
Orlando City SC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Austin FC
1%
San Jose Earthquakes
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
Chicago Fire FC
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
CF Montréal
<1%
New England Revolution
<1%
D.C. United
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 20%
Los Angeles FC 18%
San Diego FC 7.9%
Whitecaps de Vancouver 7.4%
$9,732,800 Vol.
$9,732,800 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
20%
Los Angeles FC
18%
San Diego FC
8%
Whitecaps de Vancouver
7%
Toronto FC
5%
Nashville SC
5%
New York City FC
4%
Real Salt Lake
4%
FC Cincinnati
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
New York Red Bulls
3%
Columbus Crew
3%
LA Galaxy
3%
Orlando City SC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Austin FC
1%
San Jose Earthquakes
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
Chicago Fire FC
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
CF Montréal
<1%
New England Revolution
<1%
D.C. United
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Defending MLS Cup champions Inter Miami CF hold a narrow 18.5% trader consensus edge for the 2026 title, fueled by Lionel Messi's MVP performance in last year's 3-1 playoff final win over Vancouver Whitecaps FC and offseason addition of forward Germán Berterame, though early Eastern Conference form shows them mid-pack after five matches. LAFC trails closely at 17.5% implied probability, leveraging Western Conference dominance atop standings, key acquisition Stephen Eustáquio, and perennial playoff pedigree in the single-elimination format. The bunched top reflects MLS parity, with Vancouver's runner-up momentum, San Diego FC's expansion hype and hot start (fourth in West), and surging sides like Nashville SC and NYCFC keeping the Supporters' Shield and postseason path wide open amid no dominant regular-season force yet.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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