Trader sentiment in the MLB NL Manager of the Year market remains razor-tight atop the board, with Craig Stammen (Padres), Walt Weiss (Braves), Rob Thomson (Phillies), and Blake Butera (Nationals) clustered at 44-44.5% implied probabilities, reflecting first-week parity where most contenders sit at 3-1 or 4-1 records after opening series. Heavy NL turnover—nine new skippers including rookie hires like ex-reliever Stammen, internal promotee Weiss, and MLB's youngest manager Butera—fuels bets on overachievement narratives amid low preseason expectations for their clubs. Defending winner Pat Murphy's Brewers lead the Central at 4-1, but veterans like Dave Roberts (Dodgers) and Craig Counsell (Cubs) lurk; early bullpen edges and division clashes through mid-April will dictate momentum shifts in this wide-open race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMLB: NL Manager of the Year
MLB: NL Manager of the Year
Walt Weiss 44%
Craig Stammen 44%
Blake Butera 44%
Dave Roberts 44%
$15,103 Vol.
$15,103 Vol.
Walt Weiss
44%
Craig Stammen
44%
Blake Butera
44%
Dave Roberts
44%
Warren Schaeffer
44%
Rob Thomson
43%
Torey Lovullo
43%
Terry Francona
42%
Clayton McCullough
38%
Pat Murphy
37%
Oliver Marmol
37%
Tony Vitello
35%
Craig Counsell
32%
Carlos Mendoza
-
Don Kelly
39%
Walt Weiss 44%
Craig Stammen 44%
Blake Butera 44%
Dave Roberts 44%
$15,103 Vol.
$15,103 Vol.
Walt Weiss
44%
Craig Stammen
44%
Blake Butera
44%
Dave Roberts
44%
Warren Schaeffer
44%
Rob Thomson
43%
Torey Lovullo
43%
Terry Francona
42%
Clayton McCullough
38%
Pat Murphy
37%
Oliver Marmol
37%
Tony Vitello
35%
Craig Counsell
32%
Carlos Mendoza
-
Don Kelly
39%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment in the MLB NL Manager of the Year market remains razor-tight atop the board, with Craig Stammen (Padres), Walt Weiss (Braves), Rob Thomson (Phillies), and Blake Butera (Nationals) clustered at 44-44.5% implied probabilities, reflecting first-week parity where most contenders sit at 3-1 or 4-1 records after opening series. Heavy NL turnover—nine new skippers including rookie hires like ex-reliever Stammen, internal promotee Weiss, and MLB's youngest manager Butera—fuels bets on overachievement narratives amid low preseason expectations for their clubs. Defending winner Pat Murphy's Brewers lead the Central at 4-1, but veterans like Dave Roberts (Dodgers) and Craig Counsell (Cubs) lurk; early bullpen edges and division clashes through mid-April will dictate momentum shifts in this wide-open race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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