Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour« Michael » 3e box-office du week-end
« Michael » 3e box-office du week-end
35-38 M 100.0%
<32m <1%
32-35 millions <1%
>38 M <1%
$633,162 Vol.
$633,162 Vol.
11 mai 2026
<32m
Non
32-35 millions
Non
35-38 M
Oui
>38 M
Non
35-38 M 100.0%
<32m <1%
32-35 millions <1%
>38 M <1%
$633,162 Vol.
$633,162 Vol.
11 mai 2026
<32m
$110,765 Vol.
Non
32-35 millions
$141,090 Vol.
Non
35-38 M
$132,683 Vol.
Oui
>38 M
$248,625 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$633,162Date de fin
11 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$633,162Date de fin
11 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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