Name: Augmentation de la température en janvier 2026 (ºC)
Start: 2025-12-29T22:05:28.070715Z
End: 2026-02-10T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

1,15–1,19ºC

<1,00ºC

1,10–1,14ºC

1,00–1,04 ºC

1,05–1,09 ºC

>1,19°C

Augmentation de la température

Augmentation de la température en janvier 2026 (ºC)

This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of a named bracket for February 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for February 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2025 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

February 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

This is a market group over the temperature increase recorded for January 2025.

January 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

This is a market group over the temperature increase the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2024.

December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

This is a market group over the temperature increase the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024.

November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of a named bracket for March 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for March 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for March 2025 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

March 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of a named bracket for April 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2025 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2025 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for October 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for October 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for October 2025 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Augmentation de la température en janvier 2026 (ºC)

<1,00ºC
$30,545 Vol.
2%

1,00–1,04 ºC
$85,867 Vol.
5%

1,05–1,09 ºC
$57,468 Vol.
34%

1,10–1,14ºC
$40,022 Vol.
47%

1,15–1,19ºC
$52,449 Vol.
13%

>1,19°C
$124,772 Vol.
2%

Contexte du Marché

Augmentation de la température en janvier 2026 (ºC)

Règles

Augmentation de la température en janvier 2026 (ºC)

Contexte du Marché

Augmentation de la température en janvier 2026 (ºC)

À propos

Augmentation de la température en janvier 2026 (ºC)

<1,00ºC$30,545 Vol.2%Acheter Oui3.2¢Acheter Non98.8¢

1,00–1,04 ºC$85,867 Vol.5%Acheter Oui6¢Acheter Non96¢

1,05–1,09 ºC$57,468 Vol.34%Acheter Oui34¢Acheter Non67¢

1,10–1,14ºC$40,022 Vol.47%Acheter Oui48¢Acheter Non54¢

1,15–1,19ºC$52,449 Vol.13%Acheter Oui14¢Acheter Non88¢

>1,19°C$124,772 Vol.2%Acheter Oui2.5¢Acheter Non97.9¢

Contexte du Marché

Augmentation de la température en janvier 2026 (ºC)

Règles

Augmentation de la température en janvier 2026 (ºC)

Contexte du Marché

Augmentation de la température en janvier 2026 (ºC)

À propos

<1,00ºC
$30,545 Vol.
2%

1,00–1,04 ºC
$85,867 Vol.
5%

1,05–1,09 ºC
$57,468 Vol.
34%

1,10–1,14ºC
$40,022 Vol.
47%

1,15–1,19ºC
$52,449 Vol.
13%

>1,19°C
$124,772 Vol.
2%