Combien de séismes de magnitude 7,0 ou supérieure d'ici le 30 juin ?
8+ 64%
7 16%
6 8%
5 7.8%
$791,539 Vol.
$791,539 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
2
$37,786 Vol.
1%
2
$37,786 Vol.
1%
3
$77,840 Vol.
2%
3
$77,840 Vol.
2%
4
$56,875 Vol.
4%
4
$56,875 Vol.
4%
5
$30,159 Vol.
8%
5
$30,159 Vol.
8%
6
$21,371 Vol.
8%
6
$21,371 Vol.
8%
7
$130,603 Vol.
16%
7
$130,603 Vol.
16%
8+
$300,240 Vol.
64%
8+
$300,240 Vol.
64%
Règles
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Créé le : Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$791,539Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Créé le
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Combien de séismes de magnitude 7,0 ou supérieure d'ici le 30 juin ?
8+ 64%
7 16%
6 8%
5 7.8%
$791,539 Vol.
$791,539 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
2
$37,786 Vol.
1%
3
$77,840 Vol.
2%
4
$56,875 Vol.
4%
5
$30,159 Vol.
8%
6
$21,371 Vol.
8%
7
$130,603 Vol.
16%
8+
$300,240 Vol.
64%
À propos
Volume
$791,539Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Créé le
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
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