Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 78% implied probability to top Group C, underpinned by their superior FIFA ranking, attacking firepower from stars like Vinícius Júnior—despite a recent injury scare—and depth allowing resilience amid Rodrygo's March ACL tear sidelining him for the tournament, Neymar's exclusion from friendlies due to lingering knee issues, and Alisson's absence from March preparations against France and Croatia. Morocco commands 14.5% as the viable challenger, leveraging their unbeaten CAF qualifying campaign, semifinal heroics in 2022, and recent victories over Senegal and Nigeria, positioning them for a potential upset in early fixtures like the June 14 opener versus Brazil. Scotland (4.1%) and Haiti (1.3%) lag, reflecting weaker recent form, lower rankings, and tougher paths to group leadership where top two plus best thirds advance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBrésil 78%
Maroc 15%
Écosse 4.1%
Haïti 1.3%
$65,775 Vol.
$65,775 Vol.
Brésil
78%
Maroc
15%
Écosse
4%
Haïti
1%
Brésil 78%
Maroc 15%
Écosse 4.1%
Haïti 1.3%
$65,775 Vol.
$65,775 Vol.
Brésil
78%
Maroc
15%
Écosse
4%
Haïti
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 78% implied probability to top Group C, underpinned by their superior FIFA ranking, attacking firepower from stars like Vinícius Júnior—despite a recent injury scare—and depth allowing resilience amid Rodrygo's March ACL tear sidelining him for the tournament, Neymar's exclusion from friendlies due to lingering knee issues, and Alisson's absence from March preparations against France and Croatia. Morocco commands 14.5% as the viable challenger, leveraging their unbeaten CAF qualifying campaign, semifinal heroics in 2022, and recent victories over Senegal and Nigeria, positioning them for a potential upset in early fixtures like the June 14 opener versus Brazil. Scotland (4.1%) and Haiti (1.3%) lag, reflecting weaker recent form, lower rankings, and tougher paths to group leadership where top two plus best thirds advance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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