Mexico leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup Group A, bolstered by their top FIFA ranking among entrants, robust qualifying campaign with key wins over strong CONCACAF rivals, and squad depth featuring stars like Lozano and Gimenez. South Korea trails closely at 27%, supported by Son Heung-min's form and solid AFC qualifier results, including recent upsets against Asian powerhouses. The bundled CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL options at 28.5% reflect Denmark and Czechia's pedigree—strong UEFA Nations League showings—but tempered by North Macedonia and Ireland's inconsistencies. South Africa's 5.9% lags due to CAF struggles and defensive frailties. No major injuries reported; odds hinge on group stage form and rest advantages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe A
Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe A
Mexique 39%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL 29%
Corée du Sud 27%
Afrique du Sud 6.3%
Mexique
39%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL
29%
Corée du Sud
27%
Afrique du Sud
6%
Mexique 39%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL 29%
Corée du Sud 27%
Afrique du Sud 6.3%
Mexique
39%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL
29%
Corée du Sud
27%
Afrique du Sud
6%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup Group A, bolstered by their top FIFA ranking among entrants, robust qualifying campaign with key wins over strong CONCACAF rivals, and squad depth featuring stars like Lozano and Gimenez. South Korea trails closely at 27%, supported by Son Heung-min's form and solid AFC qualifier results, including recent upsets against Asian powerhouses. The bundled CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL options at 28.5% reflect Denmark and Czechia's pedigree—strong UEFA Nations League showings—but tempered by North Macedonia and Ireland's inconsistencies. South Africa's 5.9% lags due to CAF struggles and defensive frailties. No major injuries reported; odds hinge on group stage form and rest advantages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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