Trader consensus favors Mexico at 47.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group A, driven by co-host home advantage with matches likely in Mexico City or Monterrey, bolstering their experienced squad amid strong recent form in friendlies. The UEFA playoff winner outcome (CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL)—resolved to Czechia four days ago after penalty shootout victories over Ireland and Denmark—holds 26.5%, reflecting their playoff momentum and organized defense that propelled qualification. South Korea sits at 20.0% following a competitive AFC campaign but hampered by recent stumbles in tune-ups, while South Africa's 4.7% underscores their underdog status despite CAF qualification. Top two plus best third-placed teams advance from the expanded 48-team group stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe A
Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe A
Mexique 48%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL 27%
Corée du Sud 20%
Afrique du Sud 4.7%
$23,128 Vol.
$23,128 Vol.
Mexique
48%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL
27%
Corée du Sud
20%
Afrique du Sud
5%
Mexique 48%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL 27%
Corée du Sud 20%
Afrique du Sud 4.7%
$23,128 Vol.
$23,128 Vol.
Mexique
48%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL
27%
Corée du Sud
20%
Afrique du Sud
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Mexico at 47.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group A, driven by co-host home advantage with matches likely in Mexico City or Monterrey, bolstering their experienced squad amid strong recent form in friendlies. The UEFA playoff winner outcome (CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL)—resolved to Czechia four days ago after penalty shootout victories over Ireland and Denmark—holds 26.5%, reflecting their playoff momentum and organized defense that propelled qualification. South Korea sits at 20.0% following a competitive AFC campaign but hampered by recent stumbles in tune-ups, while South Africa's 4.7% underscores their underdog status despite CAF qualification. Top two plus best third-placed teams advance from the expanded 48-team group stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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