Mexico holds a 47% implied probability as Group A frontrunner in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by co-host advantages including the June 11 opener against South Africa at high-altitude Estadio Azteca, bolstered by recent strong form with three wins in their last five matches and FIFA ranking of 15th. Czechia's recent penalty-shootout qualification over Denmark two days ago—ending a 20-year World Cup absence—has solidified their 24% share as traders price the organized Europeans (FIFA 41st) as the primary threat, prompting Mexico coach Javier Aguirre to note their tactical discipline. South Korea's 19% reflects AFC dominance and stars like Son Heung-min (FIFA 25th), while South Africa's 5% underscores their lower 60th ranking and underdog status in a competitive group where top two advance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe A
Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe A
Mexique 48%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL 24%
Corée du Sud 19%
Afrique du Sud 4.9%
$21,677 Vol.
$21,677 Vol.
Mexique
48%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL
24%
Corée du Sud
19%
Afrique du Sud
5%
Mexique 48%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL 24%
Corée du Sud 19%
Afrique du Sud 4.9%
$21,677 Vol.
$21,677 Vol.
Mexique
48%
TCH/DAN/MKD/IRL
24%
Corée du Sud
19%
Afrique du Sud
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico holds a 47% implied probability as Group A frontrunner in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by co-host advantages including the June 11 opener against South Africa at high-altitude Estadio Azteca, bolstered by recent strong form with three wins in their last five matches and FIFA ranking of 15th. Czechia's recent penalty-shootout qualification over Denmark two days ago—ending a 20-year World Cup absence—has solidified their 24% share as traders price the organized Europeans (FIFA 41st) as the primary threat, prompting Mexico coach Javier Aguirre to note their tactical discipline. South Korea's 19% reflects AFC dominance and stars like Son Heung-min (FIFA 25th), while South Africa's 5% underscores their lower 60th ranking and underdog status in a competitive group where top two advance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes