Mercedes' front-row lockout in qualifying, with Kimi Antonelli on pole ahead of George Russell, anchors trader consensus at 43% implied probability for Russell and 21.5% for Antonelli as Japanese Grand Prix favorites at Suzuka, reflecting the team's dominant weekend pace. Russell topped FP1 by a mere 0.026s over his teammate, Antonelli led FP3, and Oscar Piastri's FP2-best for McLaren (17.1% odds) signals a tight podium battle under new 2026 regulations where Mercedes holds a clear constructor edge after Russell's Australia win and Antonelli's China triumph. Red Bull's struggles drop Max Verstappen to 0.1%, emphasizing Mercedes' superior race pace and reliability as key sentiment drivers ahead of Sunday's 53-lap showdown.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGeorge Russell 85%
Oscar Piastri 8.3%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 8%
Charles Leclerc <1%
$1,174,588 Vol.
$1,174,588 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
George Russell
85%
Oscar Piastri
8%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
8%
Charles Leclerc
1%
Lando Norris
1%
Lewis Hamilton
<1%
Max Verstappen
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
George Russell 85%
Oscar Piastri 8.3%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 8%
Charles Leclerc <1%
$1,174,588 Vol.
$1,174,588 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
George Russell
$109,347 Vol.
85%
Oscar Piastri
$65,691 Vol.
8%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
$142,540 Vol.
8%
Charles Leclerc
$92,987 Vol.
1%
Lando Norris
$42,312 Vol.
1%
Lewis Hamilton
$91,572 Vol.
<1%
Max Verstappen
$464,452 Vol.
<1%
Pierre Gasly
$55,229 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Alonso
$5,734 Vol.
<1%
Alexander Albon
$3,902 Vol.
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
$5,893 Vol.
<1%
Sergio Perez
$4,192 Vol.
<1%
Esteban Ocon
$3,278 Vol.
<1%
Franco Colapinto
$0 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
$8,001 Vol.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
$0 Vol.
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
$3,530 Vol.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
$20,497 Vol.
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
$0 Vol.
<1%
Isack Hadjar
$60,519 Vol.
<1%
Liam Lawson
$0 Vol.
<1%
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes' front-row lockout in qualifying, with Kimi Antonelli on pole ahead of George Russell, anchors trader consensus at 43% implied probability for Russell and 21.5% for Antonelli as Japanese Grand Prix favorites at Suzuka, reflecting the team's dominant weekend pace. Russell topped FP1 by a mere 0.026s over his teammate, Antonelli led FP3, and Oscar Piastri's FP2-best for McLaren (17.1% odds) signals a tight podium battle under new 2026 regulations where Mercedes holds a clear constructor edge after Russell's Australia win and Antonelli's China triumph. Red Bull's struggles drop Max Verstappen to 0.1%, emphasizing Mercedes' superior race pace and reliability as key sentiment drivers ahead of Sunday's 53-lap showdown.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Volume
$1,174,588Date de fin
Apr 5, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes' front-row lockout in qualifying, with Kimi Antonelli on pole ahead of George Russell, anchors trader consensus at 43% implied probability for Russell and 21.5% for Antonelli as Japanese Grand Prix favorites at Suzuka, reflecting the team's dominant weekend pace. Russell topped FP1 by a mere 0.026s over his teammate, Antonelli led FP3, and Oscar Piastri's FP2-best for McLaren (17.1% odds) signals a tight podium battle under new 2026 regulations where Mercedes holds a clear constructor edge after Russell's Australia win and Antonelli's China triumph. Red Bull's struggles drop Max Verstappen to 0.1%, emphasizing Mercedes' superior race pace and reliability as key sentiment drivers ahead of Sunday's 53-lap showdown.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,174,588Date de fin
Apr 5, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' front-row lockout in qualifying, with Kimi Antonelli on pole ahead of George Russell, anchors trader consensus at 43% implied probability for Russell and 21.5% for Antonelli as Japanese Grand Prix favorites at Suzuka, reflecting the team's dominant weekend pace. Russell topped FP1 by a mere 0.026s over his teammate, Antonelli led FP3, and Oscar Piastri's FP2-best for McLaren (17.1% odds) signals a tight podium battle under new 2026 regulations where Mercedes holds a clear constructor edge after Russell's Australia win and Antonelli's China triumph. Red Bull's struggles drop Max Verstappen to 0.1%, emphasizing Mercedes' superior race pace and reliability as key sentiment drivers ahead of Sunday's 53-lap showdown.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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