Mercedes' front-row lockout in today's Japanese Grand Prix qualifying at Suzuka Circuit has propelled Andrea Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for victory, following his stunning pole lap of 1:28.778—his second consecutive after China. Teammate George Russell sits second on the grid at 32.5%, bolstered by Mercedes' dominant weekend form across FP1, FP2, and FP3 where the duo topped sessions. Charles Leclerc (P3 or P4) trails at 4.1%, Oscar Piastri at 2.7%, amid Max Verstappen's shock Q2 exit that drops him to 0.4%. Suzuka's high-speed layout and limited overtaking opportunities amplify the pole-sitter's edge, shaping current market positioning ahead of Sunday's race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAndrea Kimi Antonelli 59%
George Russell 33%
Charles Leclerc 4.0%
Lewis Hamilton 2.5%
$778,570 Vol.
$778,570 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
59%
George Russell
33%
Charles Leclerc
4%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Max Verstappen
<1%
Lando Norris
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 59%
George Russell 33%
Charles Leclerc 4.0%
Lewis Hamilton 2.5%
$778,570 Vol.
$778,570 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
$33,160 Vol.
59%
George Russell
$35,238 Vol.
33%
Charles Leclerc
$48,314 Vol.
4%
Lewis Hamilton
$40,040 Vol.
2%
Oscar Piastri
$32,665 Vol.
2%
Max Verstappen
$440,251 Vol.
<1%
Lando Norris
$26,697 Vol.
<1%
Pierre Gasly
$41,872 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Alonso
$3,724 Vol.
<1%
Alexander Albon
$0 Vol.
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
$0 Vol.
<1%
Sergio Perez
$0 Vol.
<1%
Esteban Ocon
$0 Vol.
<1%
Franco Colapinto
$0 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
$0 Vol.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
$0 Vol.
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
$0 Vol.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
$20,395 Vol.
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
$0 Vol.
<1%
Isack Hadjar
$56,519 Vol.
<1%
Liam Lawson
$0 Vol.
<1%
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes' front-row lockout in today's Japanese Grand Prix qualifying at Suzuka Circuit has propelled Andrea Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for victory, following his stunning pole lap of 1:28.778—his second consecutive after China. Teammate George Russell sits second on the grid at 32.5%, bolstered by Mercedes' dominant weekend form across FP1, FP2, and FP3 where the duo topped sessions. Charles Leclerc (P3 or P4) trails at 4.1%, Oscar Piastri at 2.7%, amid Max Verstappen's shock Q2 exit that drops him to 0.4%. Suzuka's high-speed layout and limited overtaking opportunities amplify the pole-sitter's edge, shaping current market positioning ahead of Sunday's race.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Volume
$778,570Date de fin
Apr 5, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes' front-row lockout in today's Japanese Grand Prix qualifying at Suzuka Circuit has propelled Andrea Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for victory, following his stunning pole lap of 1:28.778—his second consecutive after China. Teammate George Russell sits second on the grid at 32.5%, bolstered by Mercedes' dominant weekend form across FP1, FP2, and FP3 where the duo topped sessions. Charles Leclerc (P3 or P4) trails at 4.1%, Oscar Piastri at 2.7%, amid Max Verstappen's shock Q2 exit that drops him to 0.4%. Suzuka's high-speed layout and limited overtaking opportunities amplify the pole-sitter's edge, shaping current market positioning ahead of Sunday's race.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$778,570Date de fin
Apr 5, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' front-row lockout in today's Japanese Grand Prix qualifying at Suzuka Circuit has propelled Andrea Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for victory, following his stunning pole lap of 1:28.778—his second consecutive after China. Teammate George Russell sits second on the grid at 32.5%, bolstered by Mercedes' dominant weekend form across FP1, FP2, and FP3 where the duo topped sessions. Charles Leclerc (P3 or P4) trails at 4.1%, Oscar Piastri at 2.7%, amid Max Verstappen's shock Q2 exit that drops him to 0.4%. Suzuka's high-speed layout and limited overtaking opportunities amplify the pole-sitter's edge, shaping current market positioning ahead of Sunday's race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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