George Russell commands 64% implied probability for pole at the Japanese Grand Prix, fueled by Mercedes' commanding FP1 and FP2 pace at Suzuka, where he posted the quickest laps exploiting the circuit's high-speed sectors and tire management strengths. Rookie teammate Andrea Kimi Antonelli follows at 23.5% after a strong P2 in FP2, signaling the W16's superior one-lap speed in qualifying trim during his F1 debut weekend. Lewis Hamilton lags at 5.8% as Ferrari trails in practice simulations, while Max Verstappen's 1.7% reflects Red Bull's setup struggles and recent reliability issues on Suzuka's flowing layout. Dry conditions forecast for Saturday's Q1-Q3 sessions favor the frontrunners' current form.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGeorge Russell 64%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 24%
Lewis Hamilton 5.8%
Charles Leclerc 4.6%
$41,741 Vol.
$41,741 Vol.
George Russell
64%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
24%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lando Norris
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
George Russell 64%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 24%
Lewis Hamilton 5.8%
Charles Leclerc 4.6%
$41,741 Vol.
$41,741 Vol.
George Russell
64%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
24%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lando Norris
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...George Russell commands 64% implied probability for pole at the Japanese Grand Prix, fueled by Mercedes' commanding FP1 and FP2 pace at Suzuka, where he posted the quickest laps exploiting the circuit's high-speed sectors and tire management strengths. Rookie teammate Andrea Kimi Antonelli follows at 23.5% after a strong P2 in FP2, signaling the W16's superior one-lap speed in qualifying trim during his F1 debut weekend. Lewis Hamilton lags at 5.8% as Ferrari trails in practice simulations, while Max Verstappen's 1.7% reflects Red Bull's setup struggles and recent reliability issues on Suzuka's flowing layout. Dry conditions forecast for Saturday's Q1-Q3 sessions favor the frontrunners' current form.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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