Practice sessions at Suzuka have delivered razor-thin margins among the pace-setting drivers, fueling the tightly bunched trader consensus for the Japanese Grand Prix fastest lap. McLaren topped FP2 with Oscar Piastri's 1:28.813 benchmark, Lando Norris just 0.036s adrift in second, and George Russell third at +0.097s for Mercedes, while Max Verstappen slotted fourth at +0.190s and Lewis Hamilton fifth at +0.346s—gaps under three-tenths underscoring raw speed parity. Mercedes' robust long-run pace in FP2 simulations positions Russell and Hamilton prominently, with McLaren's qualifying form and tire management edge keeping Norris and Piastri close. Red Bull's FP1 dominance faded slightly, tempering Verstappen's implied probability amid dry conditions and no major disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGeorge Russell 36%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 34%
Isack Hadjar 27.7%
Lando Norris 28%
George Russell
35%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
31%
Isack Hadjar
28%
Lando Norris
28%
Oscar Piastri
28%
Charles Leclerc
17%
Max Verstappen
27%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Alexander Albon
2%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
2%
Valtteri Bottas
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Sergio Perez
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Lewis Hamilton
33%
George Russell 36%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 34%
Isack Hadjar 27.7%
Lando Norris 28%
George Russell
35%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
31%
Isack Hadjar
28%
Lando Norris
28%
Oscar Piastri
28%
Charles Leclerc
17%
Max Verstappen
27%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Alexander Albon
2%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
2%
Valtteri Bottas
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Sergio Perez
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Lewis Hamilton
33%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Practice sessions at Suzuka have delivered razor-thin margins among the pace-setting drivers, fueling the tightly bunched trader consensus for the Japanese Grand Prix fastest lap. McLaren topped FP2 with Oscar Piastri's 1:28.813 benchmark, Lando Norris just 0.036s adrift in second, and George Russell third at +0.097s for Mercedes, while Max Verstappen slotted fourth at +0.190s and Lewis Hamilton fifth at +0.346s—gaps under three-tenths underscoring raw speed parity. Mercedes' robust long-run pace in FP2 simulations positions Russell and Hamilton prominently, with McLaren's qualifying form and tire management edge keeping Norris and Piastri close. Red Bull's FP1 dominance faded slightly, tempering Verstappen's implied probability amid dry conditions and no major disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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