Mercedes' commanding 1-2 qualifying lockout at Suzuka, with rookie Kimi Antonelli on pole (1:28.778) ahead of teammate George Russell (+0.298s), has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability for the constructor to score first in Sunday's Japanese Grand Prix. The Silver Arrows dominated all three practice sessions, showcasing superior single-lap pace and race simulation potential under 2026 regulations, while Red Bull faltered with Max Verstappen eliminated in Q2 (P11). Ferrari's Charles Leclerc in P4 supports their 11.5% standing, bolstered by strong straightline speed, and McLaren's Oscar Piastri (P3) holds 6% amid consistent top-three form. No major weather disruptions or mechanical issues alter the front-row advantage at the demanding Suzuka circuit.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMercedes 86%
Ferrari 12%
Mclaren Mastercard 6%
Red Bull 3.2%
$12,020 Vol.
$12,020 Vol.
Mercedes
86%
Ferrari
12%
Mclaren Mastercard
6%
Red Bull
3%
Alpine
2%
Williams
1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
Tgr Haas
<1%
Mercedes 86%
Ferrari 12%
Mclaren Mastercard 6%
Red Bull 3.2%
$12,020 Vol.
$12,020 Vol.
Mercedes
86%
Ferrari
12%
Mclaren Mastercard
6%
Red Bull
3%
Alpine
2%
Williams
1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
Tgr Haas
<1%
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' commanding 1-2 qualifying lockout at Suzuka, with rookie Kimi Antonelli on pole (1:28.778) ahead of teammate George Russell (+0.298s), has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability for the constructor to score first in Sunday's Japanese Grand Prix. The Silver Arrows dominated all three practice sessions, showcasing superior single-lap pace and race simulation potential under 2026 regulations, while Red Bull faltered with Max Verstappen eliminated in Q2 (P11). Ferrari's Charles Leclerc in P4 supports their 11.5% standing, bolstered by strong straightline speed, and McLaren's Oscar Piastri (P3) holds 6% amid consistent top-three form. No major weather disruptions or mechanical issues alter the front-row advantage at the demanding Suzuka circuit.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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