With all 35 Eurovision 2026 entries confirmed via national selections by mid-March—including Finland's explosive "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen—trader consensus has locked in Nordic powerhouses like Finland, Denmark, and Sweden as top 10 locks due to potent televote appeal and strong UMK/MGP performances. Israel's diaspora voting edge and Greece's viral hooks bolster their frontrunner status, while recent live debuts like France's Monroe on March 27 have sparked momentum. ORF revealed opening and interval acts on March 19, heightening Vienna buzz. Rehearsals start May 1 at Wiener Stadthalle; pivotal staging reveals and semi-final allocations (May 12/14) ahead of the May 16 final could trigger shifts, as jury-public splits often yield upsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$102,264 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
86%

Greece
78%

Sweden
77%

Denmark
76%

France
75%

Ukraine
74%

Australia
70%

Italy
66%

Romania
44%

Moldova
39%

Czechia
38%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
32%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Albania
18%

Norway
18%

Luxembourg
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
16%

Serbia
15%

Lithuania
14%

Portugal
13%

Germany
13%

Switzerland
12%

Belgium
12%

Georgia
11%

Montenegro
11%

Poland
10%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
7%

Austria
5%

San Marino
9%
$102,264 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
86%

Greece
78%

Sweden
77%

Denmark
76%

France
75%

Ukraine
74%

Australia
70%

Italy
66%

Romania
44%

Moldova
39%

Czechia
38%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
32%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Albania
18%

Norway
18%

Luxembourg
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
16%

Serbia
15%

Lithuania
14%

Portugal
13%

Germany
13%

Switzerland
12%

Belgium
12%

Georgia
11%

Montenegro
11%

Poland
10%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
7%

Austria
5%

San Marino
9%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With all 35 Eurovision 2026 entries confirmed via national selections by mid-March—including Finland's explosive "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen—trader consensus has locked in Nordic powerhouses like Finland, Denmark, and Sweden as top 10 locks due to potent televote appeal and strong UMK/MGP performances. Israel's diaspora voting edge and Greece's viral hooks bolster their frontrunner status, while recent live debuts like France's Monroe on March 27 have sparked momentum. ORF revealed opening and interval acts on March 19, heightening Vienna buzz. Rehearsals start May 1 at Wiener Stadthalle; pivotal staging reveals and semi-final allocations (May 12/14) ahead of the May 16 final could trigger shifts, as jury-public splits often yield upsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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