Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 10 markets heavily favors Nordic entries like Finland at 89% implied probability for a top finish, driven by "Liekinheitin"'s dominant UMK victory appealing to both juries and televoters, per recent predictive models. France has surged to 65% following its operatic entry unveil, while Israel's televote reliability holds at 74% and Australia's Delta Goodrem bolsters 64% odds amid strong domestic buzz. Most national selections, including Poland's Alicja win and Romania's March 4 final, are now complete with 35 entrants set for Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle semis on May 12/14. Rehearsals starting late April and running order draws loom as key catalysts that could reshape frontrunner trajectories before the May 16 grand final.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$105,067 Vol.
Finland
88%
Israel
85%
Greece
78%
Sweden
76%
France
76%
Denmark
73%
Ukraine
72%
Australia
71%
Italy
69%
Romania
43%
Bulgaria
40%
Moldova
40%
Czechia
37%
Cyprus
36%
Latvia
32%
Malta
30%
Croatia
26%
Norway
20%
Albania
18%
United Kingdom
18%
Luxembourg
17%
Armenia
16%
Serbia
15%
Lithuania
14%
Portugal
14%
Estonia
8%
Georgia
13%
Switzerland
13%
Germany
11%
Montenegro
11%
Poland
11%
Belgium
8%
Azerbaijan
8%
San Marino
8%
Austria
6%
$105,067 Vol.
Finland
88%
Israel
85%
Greece
78%
Sweden
76%
France
76%
Denmark
73%
Ukraine
72%
Australia
71%
Italy
69%
Romania
43%
Bulgaria
40%
Moldova
40%
Czechia
37%
Cyprus
36%
Latvia
32%
Malta
30%
Croatia
26%
Norway
20%
Albania
18%
United Kingdom
18%
Luxembourg
17%
Armenia
16%
Serbia
15%
Lithuania
14%
Portugal
14%
Estonia
8%
Georgia
13%
Switzerland
13%
Germany
11%
Montenegro
11%
Poland
11%
Belgium
8%
Azerbaijan
8%
San Marino
8%
Austria
6%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 10 markets heavily favors Nordic entries like Finland at 89% implied probability for a top finish, driven by "Liekinheitin"'s dominant UMK victory appealing to both juries and televoters, per recent predictive models. France has surged to 65% following its operatic entry unveil, while Israel's televote reliability holds at 74% and Australia's Delta Goodrem bolsters 64% odds amid strong domestic buzz. Most national selections, including Poland's Alicja win and Romania's March 4 final, are now complete with 35 entrants set for Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle semis on May 12/14. Rehearsals starting late April and running order draws loom as key catalysts that could reshape frontrunner trajectories before the May 16 grand final.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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