Eurovision 2026, set for mid-May after the 2025 contest in Basel crowns its host nation, sees early Polymarket trader sentiment favoring perennial powerhouses like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and France, implied probabilities shaped by their consistent top 10 finishes via strong televote blocs, jury appeal, and national selection quality over the past five years. No participant announcements or bids have emerged yet, as broadcasters focus on 2025 national finals wrapping through March; historical patterns show Big 5 countries (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) auto-qualifying to the grand final, boosting their edge. Watch the May 13-17, 2025 event for host reveal and potential 2026 previews, alongside late-2025 song releases that could spark momentum shifts in this highly unpredictable contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$56,471 Vol.

Finland
90%

Israel
86%

Denmark
79%

Greece
78%

France
76%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
72%

Australia
69%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Czechia
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
16%

Serbia
15%

Georgia
13%

Portugal
13%

Belgium
13%

Germany
12%

Poland
12%

Montenegro
12%

Lithuania
11%

Switzerland
10%

San Marino
9%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
7%

Austria
5%
$56,471 Vol.

Finland
90%

Israel
86%

Denmark
79%

Greece
78%

France
76%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
72%

Australia
69%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Czechia
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
16%

Serbia
15%

Georgia
13%

Portugal
13%

Belgium
13%

Germany
12%

Poland
12%

Montenegro
12%

Lithuania
11%

Switzerland
10%

San Marino
9%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
7%

Austria
5%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Eurovision 2026, set for mid-May after the 2025 contest in Basel crowns its host nation, sees early Polymarket trader sentiment favoring perennial powerhouses like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and France, implied probabilities shaped by their consistent top 10 finishes via strong televote blocs, jury appeal, and national selection quality over the past five years. No participant announcements or bids have emerged yet, as broadcasters focus on 2025 national finals wrapping through March; historical patterns show Big 5 countries (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) auto-qualifying to the grand final, boosting their edge. Watch the May 13-17, 2025 event for host reveal and potential 2026 previews, alongside late-2025 song releases that could spark momentum shifts in this highly unpredictable contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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