Turkey’s constitution sets Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term to run through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028 and no national vote, impeachment process, or formal removal mechanism in place before the end of 2026. Recent court actions against opposition figures, including the ouster of CHP leader Özgür Özel and ongoing proceedings involving Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have reinforced the ruling coalition’s position without triggering institutional pressure for an earlier transition. Speculation about snap elections or constitutional adjustments centers on enabling a potential third term in or after 2028 rather than prompting an exit before late 2026. Trader consensus on the low probability of departure by December 31, 2026, reflects these structural timelines and the absence of sudden health, legal, or political developments that would compel an earlier transition.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourErdoğan sorti d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Erdoğan sorti d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Oui
$505,765 Vol.
$505,765 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Gagnez 3.25%
Oui
$505,765 Vol.
$505,765 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Gagnez 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s constitution sets Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term to run through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028 and no national vote, impeachment process, or formal removal mechanism in place before the end of 2026. Recent court actions against opposition figures, including the ouster of CHP leader Özgür Özel and ongoing proceedings involving Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have reinforced the ruling coalition’s position without triggering institutional pressure for an earlier transition. Speculation about snap elections or constitutional adjustments centers on enabling a potential third term in or after 2028 rather than prompting an exit before late 2026. Trader consensus on the low probability of departure by December 31, 2026, reflects these structural timelines and the absence of sudden health, legal, or political developments that would compel an earlier transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$505,765Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s constitution sets Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term to run through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028 and no national vote, impeachment process, or formal removal mechanism in place before the end of 2026. Recent court actions against opposition figures, including the ouster of CHP leader Özgür Özel and ongoing proceedings involving Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have reinforced the ruling coalition’s position without triggering institutional pressure for an earlier transition. Speculation about snap elections or constitutional adjustments centers on enabling a potential third term in or after 2028 rather than prompting an exit before late 2026. Trader consensus on the low probability of departure by December 31, 2026, reflects these structural timelines and the absence of sudden health, legal, or political developments that would compel an earlier transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$505,765Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkey’s constitution sets Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term to run through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028 and no national vote, impeachment process, or formal removal mechanism in place before the end of 2026. Recent court actions against opposition figures, including the ouster of CHP leader Özgür Özel and ongoing proceedings involving Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have reinforced the ruling coalition’s position without triggering institutional pressure for an earlier transition. Speculation about snap elections or constitutional adjustments centers on enabling a potential third term in or after 2028 rather than prompting an exit before late 2026. Trader consensus on the low probability of departure by December 31, 2026, reflects these structural timelines and the absence of sudden health, legal, or political developments that would compel an earlier transition.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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