Erdoğan’s current presidential term, his second under the 2017 constitutional system, runs until May 2028. Recent developments center on efforts by ruling alliance figures to enable a third candidacy. In September and early October 2026, presidential adviser Mehmet Uçum and MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli publicly urged parliament to approve an early 2028 vote—ideally on April 16—to activate the Article 116 exception allowing another run, requiring 360 of 600 seats. The AKP-MHP bloc holds 326 seats and would need additional support. These statements frame the 2028 contest as Erdoğan’s final bid, with no indications of resignation, health-related withdrawal, or opposition-driven removal before then. Scheduled parliamentary and electoral processes through 2028 remain the primary factors shaping assessments of his tenure.