Name: Dillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday?
Start: 2025-04-29T18:38:26.750538Z
End: 2025-05-09T12:00:00Z

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On April 28, Dillon Danis stated that he'd sign a waiver if it let him fight a gorilla alone. You can see that post here: https://x.com/dillondanis/status/1916948646068703720

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dillon Danis announces that he has scheduled a date for a fight by May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an “announcement” will be defined as Dillon Danis publicly confirming that a physical fight will take place. The fight itself does not need to take place prior to May 9 for this market to resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be any statements issued by Dillon Danis or his representative(s) which confirm that a fight will take place.

Dillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday?

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

Merab Dvalishvili va-t-il affronter Petr Yan prochainement ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Umar Nurmagomedov deviendra-t-il champion de l'UFC en 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Crenshaw initiates a lawsuit against Shawn Ryan by January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Dan Crenshaw poursuivra-t-il Shawn Ryan avant le 31 janvier ?

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

Petr Yan affrontera-t-il Merab Dvalishvili ensuite ?

X announced a $1 Million grand prize for its One Million Dollar Article contest (see: https://x.com/XCreators/status/2012306731867717852). The prize will go to the top article for the period of January 16 - January 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Koe (@thedankoe) is officially confirmed to have won this $1 Million prize by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements from Dan Koe that he has won the prize will not alone be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.

Dan Koe winning any additional or sub-prize other than the announced $1 million dollar prize will not count.

If it is confirmed that another X user is the winner of this prize, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no winner is officially confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from official X sources, including from @Xcreators, other X team accounts, or Elon Musk; however, a consensus of credible information on the winner of this prize may also be used.

Note: The terms of this prize may be seen at https://legal.x.com/en/articles-promotion-terms

Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

ForecastEx s'auto-certifiera-t-il les contrats d'événements sportifs d'ici le 31 mars 2026 ?

The UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett event is scheduled for January 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends UFC 324. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond January 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump assistera-t-il à l'UFC 324 ?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter.

If the listed fighter wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Merab Dvalishvili win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daylight (https://x.com/daylight) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Daylight, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Daylight lancera-t-il un jeton d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Elon Musk ira-t-il chez Joe Rogan avant le 30 juin ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if StandX officially launches a token by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


StandX lancera-t-il un jeton d'ici le 31 mars ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the Up Only podcast is publicly released to the general public by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Released previews of the interview won't count - the full interview must be released by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the interview and/or a consensus of credible reporting.


Épisode du podcast Up Only publié d'ici le 28 février 2026 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if USD.AI officially launches a governance token by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from USD.AI (https://x.com/USDai_Official), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

USD.AI lancera-t-il un jeton d'ici le 31 mars ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Danish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.

Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Royal Danish Navy and other branches of the Danish Armed Forces are considered part of Denmark’s military.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Affrontement militaire États-Unis x Danemark avant 2027 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood’s recently acquired Designated Contract Market (DCM), MIAXdx, self-certifies at least one sports-related event-based contract with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC, Robinhood, or MIAXdx; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Robinhood s'auto-certifie-t-il le contrat d'événement sportif avant le 31 mars ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Felix Protocol officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Felix Protocol, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Le protocole Felix lancera-t-il un jeton d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.

The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. 

La Cour suprême accepte-t-elle une affaire de contrat d'événement sportif d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Nansen lancera-t-il un jeton d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Une autre élection au Canada convoquée d’ici le 30 juin ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phantom officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Phantom lancera-t-il un jeton d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Infinex (https://infinex.xyz/) officially launches a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. If a first such token launch occurs outside of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be public announcements from Infinex.

Infinex lancera-t-il un jeton d'ici le 30 juin 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Dillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday?

Contexte du Marché

Dillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday?

Règles

Dillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday?

Contexte du Marché

Dillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday?

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