Incumbent Sen. Chris Coons' re-election bid in solidly Democratic Delaware drives trader consensus to 94% for a Democratic Senate winner, reflecting the state's long history of Democratic U.S. Senate dominance since 2001 and Coons' 2020 victory margin of nearly 20 points amid Kamala Harris's 15-point presidential win there last year. No public polls have emerged in this early cycle, but forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, bolstered by Coons' multimillion-dollar fundraising edge over primary challenger Christopher Beardsley. Recent Republican primary filings by Michael Katz and John Shulli in March have not shifted odds, underscoring weak GOP path-to-victory. Upsets could arise from a Coons scandal, primary defeat, or national Republican wave, though structural factors make these low-probability scenarios. Primaries are September 15, with the general election November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Démocrate
94%

Républicain
6%

Démocrate
94%

Républicain
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Chris Coons' re-election bid in solidly Democratic Delaware drives trader consensus to 94% for a Democratic Senate winner, reflecting the state's long history of Democratic U.S. Senate dominance since 2001 and Coons' 2020 victory margin of nearly 20 points amid Kamala Harris's 15-point presidential win there last year. No public polls have emerged in this early cycle, but forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, bolstered by Coons' multimillion-dollar fundraising edge over primary challenger Christopher Beardsley. Recent Republican primary filings by Michael Katz and John Shulli in March have not shifted odds, underscoring weak GOP path-to-victory. Upsets could arise from a Coons scandal, primary defeat, or national Republican wave, though structural factors make these low-probability scenarios. Primaries are September 15, with the general election November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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