OpenAI's ChatGPT has maintained near-perfect reliability, with its status page reporting 99.91% uptime and zero incidents across ChatGPT and APIs in the past 30 days, driving the 94% market-implied probability for no full outage by April 10. This consensus reflects trader confidence in OpenAI's infrastructure upgrades, including reduced interruption rates for long sessions announced in February release notes, following earlier disruptions like the February partial outages now resolved without recurrence. High demand from features like image generation has not triggered downtime recently, underscoring improved scalability amid competitive pressures from rivals like Claude. While cyber attacks, unprecedented traffic surges, or unannounced backend failures could still challenge this, the nine-day window and clean track record favor stability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 avr. 2026
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 avr. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has maintained near-perfect reliability, with its status page reporting 99.91% uptime and zero incidents across ChatGPT and APIs in the past 30 days, driving the 94% market-implied probability for no full outage by April 10. This consensus reflects trader confidence in OpenAI's infrastructure upgrades, including reduced interruption rates for long sessions announced in February release notes, following earlier disruptions like the February partial outages now resolved without recurrence. High demand from features like image generation has not triggered downtime recently, underscoring improved scalability amid competitive pressures from rivals like Claude. While cyber attacks, unprecedented traffic surges, or unannounced backend failures could still challenge this, the nine-day window and clean track record favor stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$669Date de fin
10 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has maintained near-perfect reliability, with its status page reporting 99.91% uptime and zero incidents across ChatGPT and APIs in the past 30 days, driving the 94% market-implied probability for no full outage by April 10. This consensus reflects trader confidence in OpenAI's infrastructure upgrades, including reduced interruption rates for long sessions announced in February release notes, following earlier disruptions like the February partial outages now resolved without recurrence. High demand from features like image generation has not triggered downtime recently, underscoring improved scalability amid competitive pressures from rivals like Claude. While cyber attacks, unprecedented traffic surges, or unannounced backend failures could still challenge this, the nine-day window and clean track record favor stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$669Date de fin
10 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT has maintained near-perfect reliability, with its status page reporting 99.91% uptime and zero incidents across ChatGPT and APIs in the past 30 days, driving the 94% market-implied probability for no full outage by April 10. This consensus reflects trader confidence in OpenAI's infrastructure upgrades, including reduced interruption rates for long sessions announced in February release notes, following earlier disruptions like the February partial outages now resolved without recurrence. High demand from features like image generation has not triggered downtime recently, underscoring improved scalability amid competitive pressures from rivals like Claude. While cyber attacks, unprecedented traffic surges, or unannounced backend failures could still challenge this, the nine-day window and clean track record favor stability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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