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Monde·Australie

Australia Parliamentary Election Winner

Market icon
Monde·Australie

Australia Parliamentary Election Winner

Labour 100.0%

Greens <1%

Other <1%

Liberal–National <1%

Polymarket

$4,010,004 Vol.

Labour 100.0%

Greens <1%

Other <1%

Liberal–National <1%

Polymarket

$4,010,004 Vol.

Market icon

Greens

$433,625 Vol.

No

Market icon

Other

$829,050 Vol.

No

Market icon

Liberal–National

$1,024,173 Vol.

No

Market icon

Labour

$1,723,155 Vol.

Yes

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a party other than the Greens, Labour, or Liberal-National coaltion controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal–National Coalition controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Australian Labor Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Australian Labor Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives
(Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election.

If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.
Volume
$4,010,004
Date de fin
May 3, 2025
Marché ouvert
Jan 13, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Australian Labor Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a party other than the Greens, Labour, or Liberal-National coaltion controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal–National Coalition controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Australian Labor Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Australia Parliamentary Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Labour » à 100%, suivi de « Greens » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Australia Parliamentary Election Winner » a généré $4 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Australia Parliamentary Election Winner », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Australia Parliamentary Election Winner » est « Labour » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Greens » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Australia Parliamentary Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.