Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for a third green jacket, driven by his 2022 and 2024 Masters victories, unmatched Augusta course history, elite strokes gained tee-to-green, and par-5 scoring despite withdrawing from last week's Houston Open for his second child's birth. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) surged on DeChambeau's playoff win over Rahm at LIV Golf South Africa eight days ago, highlighting their tee-shot power and recent LIV momentum amid strong top-10 Augusta finishes. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) boasts eight top-10s in 12 starts but faces scrutiny over a light pre-Masters schedule. Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.3%) round out contenders in this wide-open field, where precision irons, scrambling, and weather could shift the leaderboard.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,967,255 Vol.
$60,967,255 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Adam Scott
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,967,255 Vol.
$60,967,255 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Adam Scott
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for a third green jacket, driven by his 2022 and 2024 Masters victories, unmatched Augusta course history, elite strokes gained tee-to-green, and par-5 scoring despite withdrawing from last week's Houston Open for his second child's birth. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) surged on DeChambeau's playoff win over Rahm at LIV Golf South Africa eight days ago, highlighting their tee-shot power and recent LIV momentum amid strong top-10 Augusta finishes. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) boasts eight top-10s in 12 starts but faces scrutiny over a light pre-Masters schedule. Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.3%) round out contenders in this wide-open field, where precision irons, scrambling, and weather could shift the leaderboard.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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