**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$492,657 Vol.
$492,657 Vol.
22 juin 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
100%
Abelardo de la Espriella
<1%
$492,657 Vol.
$492,657 Vol.
22 juin 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
$219,187 Vol.
100%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$273,470 Vol.
<1%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$492,657Date de fin
22 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$492,657Date de fin
22 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes