Aryna Sabalenka's commanding Sunshine Double run—claiming Indian Wells with a three-set epic over Elena Rybakina and advancing deep in Miami—has solidified her as world No. 1 and trader consensus leader at 25.5% implied probability for the 2026 Wimbledon title, her all-court power suiting grass. Rybakina (16.0%), the 2022 grass-court major champion with a second Australian Open crown this year, trails closely despite back-to-back final/semifinal losses to Sabalenka, her booming serve a key differentiator on fast turf. Defending champion Iga Świątek (16.5%) lags amid a 12-5 hard-court start with quarterfinal exits, testing her improved grass adaptation. Rising teen Victoria Mboko (8.3%), now No. 9 after Australian Open fourth-round breakthrough, offers upset potential but lacks proven major deep runs on grass in this wide-open field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 16.4%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 8.3%
$3,797,059 Vol.
$3,797,059 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
8%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Clara Tauson
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 16.4%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 8.3%
$3,797,059 Vol.
$3,797,059 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
8%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Clara Tauson
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka's commanding Sunshine Double run—claiming Indian Wells with a three-set epic over Elena Rybakina and advancing deep in Miami—has solidified her as world No. 1 and trader consensus leader at 25.5% implied probability for the 2026 Wimbledon title, her all-court power suiting grass. Rybakina (16.0%), the 2022 grass-court major champion with a second Australian Open crown this year, trails closely despite back-to-back final/semifinal losses to Sabalenka, her booming serve a key differentiator on fast turf. Defending champion Iga Świątek (16.5%) lags amid a 12-5 hard-court start with quarterfinal exits, testing her improved grass adaptation. Rising teen Victoria Mboko (8.3%), now No. 9 after Australian Open fourth-round breakthrough, offers upset potential but lacks proven major deep runs on grass in this wide-open field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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