Trader consensus heavily favors Aryna Sabalenka at 40.5% implied probability to win the 2026 US Open, reflecting her world No. 2 ranking, dominant hard court record—including Australian Open titles and consistent deep Grand Slam runs—and powerful baseline game suited to the New York surface, despite a recent withdrawal from the Cincinnati Masters due to illness. Elena Rybakina's 20% pricing surged following her Cincinnati title over Jessica Pegula, showcasing her flat-hitting style, serve effectiveness, and Masters 1000 pedigree after also reaching the Toronto final. Iga Swiatek trails at 8% amid ongoing hard court inconsistencies, with early summer exits underscoring her clay dominance over faster surfaces, while Coco Gauff's defending champion status holds at 6.6% despite mixed recent form entering the 2024 US Open. Emerging talents like Marie Bouzkova and Maya Joint draw niche support from breakout performances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAryna Sabalenka 40%
Elena Rybakina 20.0%
Iga Swiatek 8%
Coco Gauff 6.6%
$89,800 Vol.
$89,800 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
41%
Elena Rybakina
20%
Iga Swiatek
8%
Coco Gauff
7%
Marie Bouzkova
5%
Maya Joint
4%
Jessica Pegula
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Donna Vekic
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Linda Noskova
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 40%
Elena Rybakina 20.0%
Iga Swiatek 8%
Coco Gauff 6.6%
$89,800 Vol.
$89,800 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
41%
Elena Rybakina
20%
Iga Swiatek
8%
Coco Gauff
7%
Marie Bouzkova
5%
Maya Joint
4%
Jessica Pegula
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Donna Vekic
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Linda Noskova
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Aryna Sabalenka at 40.5% implied probability to win the 2026 US Open, reflecting her world No. 2 ranking, dominant hard court record—including Australian Open titles and consistent deep Grand Slam runs—and powerful baseline game suited to the New York surface, despite a recent withdrawal from the Cincinnati Masters due to illness. Elena Rybakina's 20% pricing surged following her Cincinnati title over Jessica Pegula, showcasing her flat-hitting style, serve effectiveness, and Masters 1000 pedigree after also reaching the Toronto final. Iga Swiatek trails at 8% amid ongoing hard court inconsistencies, with early summer exits underscoring her clay dominance over faster surfaces, while Coco Gauff's defending champion status holds at 6.6% despite mixed recent form entering the 2024 US Open. Emerging talents like Marie Bouzkova and Maya Joint draw niche support from breakout performances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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