Iga Świątek leads trader consensus at 27.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's French Open title, edged ahead of Aryna Sabalenka's 25.5% in a razor-tight race atop the market, reflecting Świątek's peerless clay-court pedigree—four Roland Garros triumphs—against Sabalenka's explosive all-surface ascent to WTA No. 1. Recent Beijing hard-court final clashes, where Świątek prevailed last week, and Sabalenka's US Open crown highlight their head-to-head rivalry, while Świątek's third-round Olympic clay loss to Mirra Andreeva tempered momentum. Coco Gauff lurks third at 10.5% on steady major deep runs, including French Open semis, but 18 months out, injuries, form ebbs, and clay prep swings keep probabilities fluid and contested.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIga Świątek 25%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Coco Gauff 10%
Elena Rybakina 9.4%
$1,848,808 Vol.
$1,848,808 Vol.
Iga Świątek
25%
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Coco Gauff
10%
Elena Rybakina
9%
Jessica Pegula
7%
Jasmine Paolini
5%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Naomi Osaka
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Iga Świątek 25%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Coco Gauff 10%
Elena Rybakina 9.4%
$1,848,808 Vol.
$1,848,808 Vol.
Iga Świątek
25%
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Coco Gauff
10%
Elena Rybakina
9%
Jessica Pegula
7%
Jasmine Paolini
5%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Naomi Osaka
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iga Świątek leads trader consensus at 27.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's French Open title, edged ahead of Aryna Sabalenka's 25.5% in a razor-tight race atop the market, reflecting Świątek's peerless clay-court pedigree—four Roland Garros triumphs—against Sabalenka's explosive all-surface ascent to WTA No. 1. Recent Beijing hard-court final clashes, where Świątek prevailed last week, and Sabalenka's US Open crown highlight their head-to-head rivalry, while Świątek's third-round Olympic clay loss to Mirra Andreeva tempered momentum. Coco Gauff lurks third at 10.5% on steady major deep runs, including French Open semis, but 18 months out, injuries, form ebbs, and clay prep swings keep probabilities fluid and contested.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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